|Under 6 (-124) @ Betamerica|
My 9* NL TOTAL VALUE is on the UNDER Padres/Mets.
Yes, this total is low.
But for good reason in my estimation.
We don't have to look any further than these two World class starting pitchers to get the reasoning behind my play on this contest.
Blake Snell (2-2, 4.83 ERA) gets the nod for the visiting side and he comes in off a really strong start against the Mets just last week, holding them scoreless over seven innings, allowing just one hit and striking out ten. Snell's been better at home than on the road this year, but disproportionately so. I thinnk that starts to correct and normalize here (note that he's 2-1 with a 3.89 ERA in all "night" games.)
The home side counters with ace Jacob deGrom (5-2, 0.62 ERA), who has a tiny 0.57 WHIP and who dominated the Padres last weekend, posting 11 strikeouts and giving up zero runs over seven innings.
New York struggles with offensive consistency, which is bad news facing the now red hot Snell.
The Padres' offense is much more prolific, but this is a bad matchup, as evidenced by last week's result vs. deGrom.
Look for these two capable starters to battle each other into the latter frames and for this total to ultimately fall under the posted number.
at covers experts
Winning Starts Here