Pick Details

Jun 11 2021 at 7:10 PM ET
San Diego
New York
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 9.0 Evaluation: Win (900) - Final Total 5
Under 6 (-124) @ Betamerica

My 9* NL TOTAL VALUE is on the UNDER Padres/Mets.

Yes, this total is low.

But for good reason in my estimation.

We don't have to look any further than these two World class starting pitchers to get the reasoning behind my play on this contest.

Blake Snell (2-2, 4.83 ERA) gets the nod for the visiting side and he comes in off a really strong start against the Mets just last week, holding them scoreless over seven innings, allowing just one hit and striking out ten. Snell's been better at home than on the road this year, but disproportionately so. I thinnk that starts to correct and normalize here (note that he's 2-1 with a 3.89 ERA in all "night" games.)

The home side counters with ace Jacob deGrom (5-2, 0.62 ERA), who has a tiny 0.57 WHIP and who dominated the Padres last weekend, posting 11 strikeouts and giving up zero runs over seven innings.

New York struggles with offensive consistency, which is bad news facing the now red hot Snell.

The Padres' offense is much more prolific, but this is a bad matchup, as evidenced by last week's result vs. deGrom.

Look for these two capable starters to battle each other into the latter frames and for this total to ultimately fall under the posted number.

Good luck...Larry

Covers Logo
50% off your first purchase
at covers experts


Winning Starts Here


What does ‘Star Rating’ mean?
Star Rating is the number of units the handicapper is risking on the bet. Therefore, if the Star Rating is 7.0, it is a 7-unit pick. On plus odds picks, the handicapper is risking their Star Rating unit amount. On negative odds picks, the handicapper is betting enough to win their Star Rating unit amount.
We are constantly evaluating online sportsbooks and line feeds to ensure accuracy with our Expert picks. We typically have between 5-10 legal and reputable sportsbooks for our handicappers to select lines from. They are required to select the current line from these featured books so authenticity can always be confirmed – no stale lines!
All of your purchased picks will appear under My Experts >
Covers Logo
50% off your first purchase
at covers experts


Winning Starts Here

Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo