Pick Details


Pick |
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-2.5 DRKE (-106) @ Fanduel |
I'm playing on DRAKE. In terms of talent, this is a mismatch. Yet, because the game is played at Illinois State and because the Bulldogs have fared poorly at the betting window thus far, the line is reasonably low. I feel that's providing us with excellent value on the superior team. The Redbirds managed just 53 points last game. They're 4-8 ATS their past 12, after scoring 60 or less. While they'd surely like to avenge a 9-point loss at Drake, they're also just 8-12 ATS their last 20, when attempting to avenge a road loss. The Bulldogs, who swept last season's games, are allowing 65.7 ppg. The Redbirds are allowing 76. Their past five opponents have hit a high 47.9% of their field goals. With an O/U line in the mid 140s, the pace of the game should favor the visitors. The Redbirds are 6-17 SU the past 23 times that they played a game with an O/U line in the 140s. During that span, the Bulldogs are 21-3 SU when they played a game with an O/U line in the 140s. Expect them to improve on those stats, covering the small number along the way.
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