|Nap (-192) @ pinnacle|
6* Napoli (9:00 AM ET): After failing to take all three points from Cagliari, Napoli looks to bounce back and continue their pursuit of a top four finish in Serie A. Giving up a (very) late equalizer last week proved very costly as two points is now the difference between Napoli and the three sides they are chasing for Champions League qualification. But having scored at least one goal in 22 consecutive matches and unbeaten in their last five, there’s no reason for the Partenopei to panic. This week they’ll be facing Spezia, another bottom of the table side, and I don’t see the full three points slipping through their fingers again.
A newly promoted side for 2020/21, Spezia looked as if it would easily remain in the Italian top flight with a decent start to the campaign. But recently they’ve fallen on hard times. Winless in their last four, they’ve earned just five points since the start of April and that’s left them dangerously close to the relegation zone entering the stretch run. Currently, they are only three points clear. But the final four fixtures of the season won’t be easy, meaning it will be a tough battle with Benevento and Cagliari to see who is the third relegated Serie A side (alongside Parma and Crotone).
Spezia is unbeaten in its last six home matches, but I don’t see that streak lasting any longer. Yes, the Bianconeri did win the reverse fixture 2-1 back in January, but it was a much different story in the Coppa Italia (4-2) only a few weeks later. Spezia pulling off a “Serie A double” seems highly improbable given Napoli’s scoring punch. Napoli has also won six of the last seven head to head battles with Spezia. Over their last 11 fixtures, Napoli has been beaten only once and that was by nine-time champion Juventus. They’ve won eight. Only Atalanta has scored more goals this season. Should be an easy one for the visitors. 6* Napoli
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