|SEA (-118) @ pinnacle|
8* Seattle (3:40 ET): Because Baltimore is 10-6 in road games this season and has its best starter (John Means) going this afternoon, we’re able to grab a fairly cheap price on the opposition. I say “go for it” as the Mariners won 5-2 yesterday and I am unconvinced Means alone can carry the Orioles to victory here. Despite the surprisingly good record in road games so far, the O’s project to be a pretty lousy team in 2021 and should lose 90+ games. I think now is a good time to fade, before the bottom drops out.
Seattle hasn’t exactly been a great offensive team thus far. So opposite Means, they’ll need a good start today from Yusei Kikuchi. Fortunately, Kikuchi looked great his last time out as he allowed just one hit over seven scoreless innings. He’d struggled some in the two starts before that, but has gone 6+ innings while allowing 3 ER or less three times this season. Baltimore has faced Kikuchi only one time previous to this. It was 2019 and Kikuchi pitched well (3 ER allowed in 6 IP) in what turned out to be a 13-3 win.
The Mariners have now won four of six following yesterday’s 5-2 victory. One situation they have particularly excelled in this season is day games where their record is 10-3. Key here is that I don’t believe Baltimore is going to score many runs. They are hitting .218 in games vs. LH starters. While it’s unlikely Seattle scores a ton of runs today, they have already won a game against Means this season when they beat the Orioles 4-3 at Camden Yards on 4/13. The three runs allowed by Means in that start are a season-high. 8* Seattle
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