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Pick Details


MLB EVENT
Jul 22 2021 at 10:10 PM ET
San Francisco
at
Los Angeles
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 6.0 Evaluation: Loss (-984)
Pick
LAD (-164) @ caesars

My selection is on Los Angeles over San Francisco at 10:10 pm et on Thursday.

These two teams have gone back and forth in this series with the Giants taking two of the first three games. Here, I look for the Dodgers to salvage a series split behind another strong outing from Walker Buehler.

Anthony DeSclafani will get the call for the Giants. If you've followed my plays regularly this season you know that I'm pretty high on DeSclafani. However, he's not in an ideal spot here, starting on just four days' rest against a Dodgers club that has absolutely owned him. There were some red flags in his most recent start as he struck out only four (his lowest K total since June 3rd) and also allowed two home runs, only the second time he had given up two or more long balls in a game this season but those two occurrences have come in his last four starts. The Dodgers will be getting their fourth look at DeSclafani this season having already scored 15 earned runs on 19 hits over just 12 1/3 innings. Los Angeles is 7-2 all-time against the right-hander.

Walker Buehler will counter for the Dodgers. The Giants have never really been able to figure him out, most recently facing him three times already this season, managing just two earned runs in 19 2/3 innings. In fact, Los Angeles has won seven of Buehler's previous eight career starts against San Francisco. He checks in sporting a terrific 2.31 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 11 home starts this season with the Dodgers winning seven of those games. He's been at his absolute best against N.L. West opponents, recording a 1.64 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in 10 starts.

Behind Buehler is a Dodgers bullpen that entered last night's action sporting a collective 3.08 ERA and 1.09 WHIP with 16 saves converted and only six blown at home this season. While the Giants 'pen has posted solid overall numbers, I'm always concerned about their poor save conversion rate on the road. Entering last night's game they had converted 15 saves while blowing 12 away from home. Take Los Angeles (6*).

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