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Pick Details


NHL EVENT
Apr 27 2021 at 7:00 PM ET
Buffalo
at
New York
Sport: NHL | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Win (1000) - Final Score NYR 3 at BUF 1
Pick
-1.5 NYR (-108) @ pinnacle

ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* New York Rangers Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Buffalo Sabres, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET - The Rangers are still very much alive in the playoff race.  New York trails Boston by only 4 points in the standings and they finish the regular season with back to back games against the Bruins in less than 2 weeks.  That means New York is certainly not going to take their foot off the gas now and they host a struggling Sabres team here that has nothing to play for.  Of course that is why the Rangers are a 3 to 1 money line favorite here but where the value can be found is with the puck line and there is no hesitation in being comfortable with laying the 1.5 goals here.  The Rangers have won 6 of 8 games.  21 of New York's 25 wins have been by 2+ goals this season.  That means 84% of the time a Rangers win is by a multiple-goal margin!  The Sabres enter this game having lost 26 of 33 games!  Buffalo's last 3 defeats have been decided by a 13 to 4 combined margin and this included a 6-3 loss to the Rangers.  Huge goalie edge for New York in this one.  The Rangers start Igor Shesterkin and he is 4-0-1 with a 2.12 GAA versus the Sabres this season.  The Sabres start Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen and he just turned 22 years old last month.  It will be just his 2nd NHL appearance.  He won his first start last week but allowed 4 goals to the Bruins.  Even at the AHL level this season and last season he has not been overly impressive as he had a 3.15 GAA last season and has a 3.60 GAA this season.  This is a team and goalie and situational mismatch.  Home team in a blowout per our computer math model.  Grabbing the 1.5 goals (at a very fair price currently in the -110 range) with home favorite New York Rangers is the value play here.

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