My selection is on Tampa Bay +1.5 goals over Colorado at 8:15 pm et on Friday.

It's been interesting to see how this series has played out to this point. Most wrote off the Lightning after their 7-0 drubbing in Game 2. However, they returned home and righted the ship with a 6-2 victory. That had most believing in the Bolts entering Game 4 (we weren't in that group, cashing our 10* Game of the Year with the Avalanche). Now everyone is quick to write off the two-time defending Stanley Cup champions once again. While Tampa Bay obviously faces a massive uphill battle, I believe it can at the very least take the Avalanche down to the wire on Friday night. That fourth victory can be especially tough to get when it comes to the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The Avalanche know that, after all they lost a potential series-clinching Game 5 on home ice against St. Louis in the second round and then needed overtime to get past Edmonton in Game 4 last round. Here, we'll note that the Lightning are an incredible 41-15 when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by 1.2 goals on average in that situation. Better still, they're 13-1 when playing on the road after losing three of their last four games over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.8 goals. Take Tampa Bay +1.5 goals (9*).