|Under 208.5 (-114) @ Betvictor|
It’s been a surprisingly high-scoring first two games in the Eastern Conference Finals with 225 and 229 total points scored. Each team won once in Miami and neither game was all that close. With each game going Over by more than 20 points, I’ve got a feeling the public will look at this number being too low. I think it’s too high.
I had the Under in Game 1, which was a mistake. But banking on a Boston shooting resurgence for Game 2, I took the Over. That resurgence is exactly what took place Thursday night. The Celtics not only made 51.2 percent of all shots, they were also 20 of 40 from three.
Even at home, they won’t match that kind of three-point output. The Celtics are only averaging 13 made threes per game for the year, same as Miami, who led the league in 3ptFG%.
Boston started fast in the two games at Miami. They averaged 66 points in the first half. Look for Miami, who is allowing only 100.5 points per game in the playoffs, to slow them down. The Under is 5-1 the last six times the Heat have been coming off a game where they gave up 125 or more points.
The Celtics are of course also an elite defensive team. They led the league in scoring defense in the regular season. The Under was 3-1 in their home games in Round 2 vs. Milwaukee. All three Unders saw less than 200 total points scored. Take the Under here.
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