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Pick Details


MLB EVENT
May 14 2021 at 8:10 PM ET
Atlanta
at
Milwaukee
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 9.0 Evaluation: Loss (-900)
Pick
MIL (100) @ Betamerica
Adrian Houser goes against Drew Smyly in this one. This isn’t your Kershaw/Scherzer matchup or your Verlander/Bieber matchup, that’s for sure, but I do think Houser has a bit of an advantage here over Smyly. Houser has a 3.44 ERA this year that is probably going to come up given some of his advanced metrics, but he’s no Drew Smyly. Smyly has a 6.12 ERA and has given up 4 or more runs in all but one of his five starts this year. His Expected ERA is even higher, and so is his FIP — FIP is another way of calculating a pitcher’s ERA by considering factors that he has more control over, such as strikeouts, walks, and things like that. 
 
-Milwaukee was shut out by the Cardinals yesterday, and they’re 9-2 in 11 games this year after being held to 2 runs or less. I think they have a much better bullpen than Atlanta, and they’re getting a Braves team that will be without Ronald Acuna today because he keeps getting banged up. They should keep Atlanta to just a few runs in this one.
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