|OAK (-142) @ caesars|
My selection is on Oakland over Los Angeles at 3:35 pm et on Tuesday.
I really like the way this one sets up for the A's as they look to close out a quick two-game sweep of the Angels on Tuesday afternoon.
Jose Suarez will get his third start of the season for the Angels as he takes a second consecutive turn in the rotation. After struggling mightily at the big league level the last two seasons, Suarez has been serviceable this year, but we're talking about a very small sample size. Most concerning to me is his 7:6 strikeout-to-walk ratio through eight innings of work. The Angels pretty much know what they're going to get from Suarez here - likely 4-5 innings. That leaves the bulk of the game in the hands of a poor Angels bullpen that has posted a collective 5.59 ERA and 1.45 WHIP with nine saves converted and five blown in day games this season. Last night the Los Angeles relief corps was charged with all four earned runs in just two innings of work in a 4-1 loss.
Rookie James Kaprielian will counter for Oakland. He's actually been getting stronger as the season goes on, checking in with a 3.00 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over his last three outings. Note that he's worked at least into the sixth inning in five of his last six starts. Here at home he owns an incredible 1.38 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in four starts. In six daytime outings he has recorded a 2.41 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Here, he'll be making his second start against the Angels this season but I'm not overly concerned as he's fared reasonably well when facing the same team multiple times this season.
Kaprielian is averaging an impressive 6.5 innings per start at home this season so perhaps we won't need a lot of help from the A's bullpen. However, it's certainly worth noting that the A's 'pen has been at its best in day games this season, posting a collective 3.78 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Here at home, Oakland's relief corps has converted 14 saves while blowing only three. Take Oakland (10*).
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