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Pick Details


NBA EVENT
Mar 30 2021 at 7:00 PM ET
Charlotte
at
Washington
Sport: NBA | Star Rating: 8.0 Evaluation: Win (800) - Final Total 218
Pick
Under 228.5 (-109) @ Draftkings

8* Take Washington – Charlotte UNDER (#501-502)

The Hornets first game without LaMelo Ball as their starting point guard stayed 27 points Under the posted total against the Spurs.   They scored 122 against ‘no-defense’ Houston in their second game without Ball thanks to 51% shooting and 18 made three pointers.  The game still stayed Under the total.  In Game 3 without Ball, early bettors cashed with the Under against Miami but a late flurry of ‘scramble’ points sent the game Over the closing total with three seconds to play.  Last time out, against Phoenix, the game went to overtime and STILL stayed more than 20 points Under the total.  Clearly, Charlotte is playing slower without Ball, an Under team until proven otherwise

The Hornets loved to run with ‘Melo at the point, but notched only five fast break points against the Spurs and only six against the Suns.  In fact, they’ve been held to 15 fast break points or less in all four games since he got hurt.   Head Coach James Borrego knew that his team had to change their style moving forward; not expecting to play uptempo basketball in the games to come.  I’m expecting the betting markets to be lagging behind Charlotte’s current reality when it comes to totals for at least the immediate future; an ‘Under’ team worth riding for a few games (or more).

Washington can’t control pace.  When they face an uptempo, strong offensive team, the Wizards cash Over bets.  When they face a slower paced, weaker offensive squad, the Wizards cash Under bets – each of their last ten totals hasn’t been close, eight decided by double digit margins and the other two by eight and nine points – they’re either flying Over or staying way Under.  Against the slower paced, offensively mediocre Hornets, we can expect an Under tonight.  Take the UNDER.

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