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Pick Details


MLB EVENT
May 9 2021 at 7:08 PM ET
Philadelphia
at
Atlanta
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Win (1000) - Final Total 7
Pick
Under 8 (-115) @ Fanduel

10* Under Phillies/Braves (7:05 ET): These teams have gone Over five straight times when playing each other, however yesterday’s 8-7 final was a highly misleading score as baseball’s “new” extra inning rules provided for a lot of fireworks in the added frames. Atlanta rallied for the win, but it took two runs in the bottom of the ninth to tie it at 3-3. After no scoring in the 10th, each team put a run on the board in the 11th. Then came the 12th where the Phillies scored three times only for the Braves to score four and win the game in dramatic fashion. 

With two strong starting pitchers on the mound, I look for tonight’s game to see a lot less runs scored. For Philadelphia, it’s Aaron Nola, who has allowed 3 ER or less in six of his seven starts. The Phillies are 5-2 in Nola starts and he matched a season-high with 10 strikeouts his last time out. The Over is 3-0 his L3 starts, but not because of him as his WHIP is 1.00 during that time. For the year, you’re looking at a 2.89 ERA and 0.985 WHIP.

Atlanta turns to Huascar Ynoa, who happens to have the lowest ERA (2.43) in the rotation. This despite him only having a spot due to an injury to Mike Soroka. The only run allowed by Ynoa in his last two starts was unearned and he’s allowed only eight in 12 ⅓ IP. He’s allowed two runs or less in five of his six starts this season and has a 0.90 WHIP. Braves’ home games have been pretty high-scoring so far, averaging 11.1 runs per game (!), but that number will assuredly start to drop and I’m on the Under here. 10* Under Phillies/Braves

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