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Pick Details

(915) Pittsburgh vs. Detroit (916) 1:10 PM | Thu, Apr 22 2021
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 9.0 Evaluation: Loss (-972) - Final Total 6
Over 8.5 (-108) @ Betamerica

My 9* Afternoon Delight is on Pit/Det Over at 1:10 ET.

The Pirates opened the 2021 season having missed the playoffs the previous FIVE season, coming off back-to-back seasons of playing .396 baseball (88-134). Pittsburgh has nothing on Detroit, which has missed the last SIX postseasons, finishing below .400 in FOUR of them. The teams split a doubleheader on Wednesday (Tuesday's game was postponed) and will cap this three-game series this afternoon. Pittsburgh is 8-10 and Detroit 7-11, after its 5-2 (7 inn) win in the second-half of Wednesday's doubleheader snapped a FIVE-game slide.

Both teams struggle offensively, as the Pirates are averaging just 3.89 RPG (23rd) and the Tigers averaging 3.44 RPG (28th). As for their pitching staffs, Pittsburgh's team ERA of 4.91 ranks 29th and Detroit's team ERA of 4.95 ranks last (30th). Pittsburgh will send Mitch Keller (1-2, 8.74 ERA) to the mound, while Detroit counters with Jose Urena (0-3, 5.52 ERA). Keller's first MLB season was 2019 and he's made just 19 career starts, going 3-8 (team is only 5-14). He has not made it past the fifth inning in any of his three starts of 2021 and owns an 'ugly' 2.12 WHIP to go along with his 8.74 ERA, as opponents are batting .333 against him. His career numbers (19 starts) reveal a 6.22 ERA, 1.72 WHIP and .300 BAA.

Urena spent his first six seasons with Miami and this is his first with Detroit. Urena struggled badly in his first two starts of 2021 (7 ERs allowed in 7.2 IP) but had a strong outing last Friday at Oakland (2 ERs allowed over 7 innings). That said, his ERA is 5.52 and his WHIP 1.70 entering this game in 2021. Looking back at his career, if one were to exclude his 14-7 record in 2017, his career record is 18-42 and his ERA in 4.98. Two struggling pitching staffs sending two struggling starters to the mound (also note that Detroit also owns the highest bullpen ERA of 6.56 in MLB) equals an OVER!

Good luck...Larry


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