|CHC (-120) @ pinnacle|
Data Driven MLB play for Monday: Chicago Cubs
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Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human biases, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
Our models suggest that the value is on the Cubs as a short road favorite at Cincinnati Monday night. Reds right-hander Vladimir Gutierrez (0-5, 8.65 ERA) season has gone from bad to worse. In his last three starts alone, Gutierrez has surrendered 17 runs on 19 hits over 13 innings. The Cubs counter with left-hander Drew Smyly (1-5, 3.97 ERA) who has a 2.66 ERA in five road starts this year. Cincinnati has struggled against left-handed pitching all season and is averaging only 2.74 runs per nine innings against southpaws.
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