|-3.5 FSU (-110) @ Pointsbet|
3 of 4 Experts (75%) with a pick against the spread are aligned. 8* play on the Florida State Seminoles (Spread)
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Florida State and NC State have some things in common. Both are 0-3 ATS their last three games. Both are off a loss. NC State has dropped two in a row, one of those coming against Clemson, who also beat FSU. But something will have to give Wednesday night in Tallahassee and we believe it will be the home team breaking through. There’s no shame in losing to Clemson (as NC State knows) and that was the Seminoles’ first road game of the season. It was also just their second loss, the only other one being a shocker at the hands of UCF. The Clemson game took place all the way back on 12/29 as Covid 19 has claimed their last two scheduled games. So it will be an angry home team tonight that hasn’t taken the floor in over two weeks. NC State has played three times since FSU last took the floor and coming off back to back close losses (both by five points or less), the Wolfpack are at a disadvantage. NC State has covered only one of its last six games. If not for inactivity, FSU would likely still be a Top 25 team.
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The Seminoles might not be the powerhouse they were last year, but they are still a formidable home team. They host NC State tonight, and the Wolfpack haven't covered in any of their last five road games. They have only covered in one of their last six games overall, and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. FSU is 21-1 at home since the beginning of last season.
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Florida State(5-2 / 1-1 in ACC) just dropped out of the AP top-25 on Monday and tonight, will end its longest in-season layoff since a holiday break during the 1956-57 season when it plays host to North Carolina State (6-3 / 2-2) in Tallahassee. COVID-19 positive tests and contact tracing within the program led to three postponed games. NC State lost four games due to COVID but opened 6-1 (2-0 ACC) before losing its last two games to Clemson and Miami in ACC play.
Head coach Kevin Keatts took over at NC State for Mark Gottfried beginning in the 2017-18 season, after leading UNC-Wilmington to 25-8 and 29-6 records in his final two seasons (both teams earned NCAA tourney bids). He's won 21, 24 and 20 games his first three seasons in Raleigh and while he lost leading scorer Bryce (13.3 & 6.3) plus PG Johnson (12.8-4.4-6.8) from last season's team, the Wolfpack have plenty of talent and depth this season. Guard Daniels (15.9 & 5.2) and 6-7 wing Hellems (11/2 & 5.1) are averaging in double digits, as is the 6-10 Funderburk (13.0 & 5.5z), who comes off the bench. Hayes (7.7) and Beverley (6.4) start in the backcourt along with Daniels, while the 6-11 Bates (9.4 & 5.4) starts up front with Hellems.
Leonard Hamilton is now in his 19th season with FSU and he's been greatly underappreciated (more later). Florida State was 26-5 and poised to make a Final Four run before the postseason was curtailed due to the COVID-19 pandemic but entered this season losing three key players from a team.PG Forrest (11.6-4.4-4.0), SG Vassell (12.7 & 5.1) and 6-7 swingman Williams (9.7 & 4.0) were all chosen in the NBA draft. Guard MJ Walker is back and leads with 15.3 PPG plus is surrounded by a talented group. Frontcourt veterans like the 7-1 Koprivica (9.9 & 5.90, the 6-8 Gray (7.0 & 6.0) start, while the 6-9 Osborne (3.6 & 5.1) comes off the bench. Freshman Barnes, a 6-9 guard averages 11.1-3.9-4.3) and returning guard Polite (10.9 & 5.1) are both double digit scorers.
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Best of luck!