|3.5 PM (-116) @ pinnacle|
Matchup: Petra Martic v Jessica Pegula
Pick: 10* Petra Martic +3.5 Games
Jessica Pegula: 'I'm never really going to be like a true clay-courter'. This is a very true statement but the oddsmakers continue to overvalue her on clay.
Her victories against Osaka & Alexandrova are nothing special, neither of those players move well on clay, Martic is a much more difficult matchup.
Martic is a natural player on all surfaces, her tennis IQ is very high and she has a variety of shots in her arsenal, capable of mixing up speeds and spins which is very effective on the dirt.
Pegula likes to hit quite flat and Martic's variety can upset her rhythm and timing, there's nothing to suggest she's going to become an elite clay court player, hard courts will remain her best surface.
First round exits at the French Open in the past two seasons tell their own story, Martic is the far more natural clay courter, this price is simply incorrect. Petra Martic +3.5 Games
at covers experts
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