|Under 4.5 1st 5 (-108) @ Betvictor|
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Texas and Detroit at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday.
The Tigers offense exploded for 14 runs in last night's rout of the Rangers. Texas' scoring woes continued as it has now scored just two runs in four games since the All-Star break and has been shutout in three consecutive contests (two of those games were seven-inning affairs).
Dane Dunning will get the start for the Rangers on Tuesday. He has admittedly struggled on the road this season but did head into the break on a positive note, having posted a 1.93 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over his last three starts, including a road start in Oakland that saw him toss four shutout innings. The break probably came at a good time for Dunning as he had made two of his last three starts on just four days' rest. Note that he has been at his best this season in nighttime starts, recording a 4.02 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 10 outings. After struggling against the Tigers in his first start against them last August, he bounced back and allowed just one earned run on one hit over five innings against them in his last start before the break.
By playing the first five innings only we'll look to avoid a Rangers bullpen that has struggled on the road this season, posting a collective 5.35 ERA and 1.45 WHIP with only six converted saves and five blown (entering last night's action).
Left-hander Tarik Skubal will counter for Detroit. Like Dunning, he also made two of his last three starts before the break on just four days' rest so the extra days off came at a good time. Skubal has pitched reasonably well at home this season, recording a 3.78 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in nine starts. He'll have the benefit of facing the Rangers for the first time in his career on Tuesday.
With the Tigers bullpen entering last night's action having posted a collective 5.89 ERA and 1.60 WHIP at night this season, we'll look to avoid that unit by playing the first five innings only here. Take the first five innings under (8*).
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Winning Starts Here