|8 DET (-108) @ pinnacle|
8* Take Detroit (#512)
The Blazers have a grand total of two pointspread covers at -7.5 or higher for the entire season – this is not Portland’s role. The Blazers tend to step up or down to their level of competition, as has been the case throughout the Terry Stotts era – it’s no accident that Portland hasn’t beaten Detroit by more than five points since 2018, or won in Detroit by this margin in any game since 2015 (and that’s as far back as I looked).
None of Portland’s last nine victories – dating back more than four weeks – have come by more than eight points. Their last win by eight or more on the highway came six weeks ago. The last game of a successful (3-0 so far) road trip is not ‘put the pedal to the metal’ time for a team like Portland, especially with a lookahead like a return trip home with Giannis and the Bucks on tap for Friday.
Detroit has been a feisty underdog all season, and at +7.5 or higher, they’ve been consistent moneymakers: 13-3 ATS in 16 previous tries. Dwayne Casey’s squad is still dealing with some injuries in their backcourt, but they’ve been competitive, night after night – only twice in their last dozen games have they lost by more than ten points, despite winning outright only four times during that span. Live dog here! Take the Pistons.
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