|Bayer (-120) @ pinnacle|
10* Bayer Leverkusen (9:30 AM ET): Two sides with very different goals meet Saturday on the pitch as slumping Werder Bremen hosts top six Bayer Leverkusen. I’m quite shocked at the cheap price on the visitors here. Werder Bremen has lost seven straight in the Bundesliga and is now in grave danger of falling into the relegation playoff for a second straight year, or even worse. They are just one point clear of safety after Hertha Berlin won on Thursday. As badly as Bremen needs points right now, I don’t see them getting any Saturday as Leverkusen looks to cement their spot in the top six of the table.
By finishing in the top six, Leverkusen would earn a chance to play European football next season in Europa League qualification. Under new manager Hannes Wolf, they have earned 10 points out of possible 15. The only loss in those five fixtures was to Bayern Munich and there’s no shame there. Prior to last week’s break, Leverkusen bounced back from that loss with a very solid 3-1 win over top four Eintracht Frankfurt. They’ve played two other bottom of the table sides under Wolf (Koln and Schalke) and won both with a 5-1 goal advantage.
Even stepping outside Bundesliga action could not right the ship for Werder Bremen last week. While Leverkusen was on break, Bremen lost 2-1 in the DFB-Pokal semi final to RB Leipzig in extra time. They’ve now lost eight of nine across all competitions, including the aforementioned 0-7 run in the Bundesliga. The last time Bremen beat a team in the German top flight was 3/10, a 2-0 win over Arminia Bielefeld, another side in danger of being relegated. That was also the last time they scored more than one goal in any fixture. Having played to a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture (back in January), Leverkusen will not be taking this one lightly. 10* Bayer Leverkusen
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