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Pick Details


MLB EVENT
May 5 2021 at 7:10 PM ET
Detroit
at
Boston
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Loss (-1000) - Final Score BOS 5 at DET 6
Pick
-1.5 BOS (110) @ Draftkings

 My 10* Run-Line Rout is on the Bos Red Sox at 7:10 ET.

The Red Sox opened the season 0-3 but then won NINE in a row. Boston has cooled off since but the Red Sox take the field Wednesday 18-12 (lead the AL East by 2 1/2-games). The Tigers lost 98 games in both 2017 and 2018, then lost 114 games in 2019, before going 23-35 in 2020. The Tigers scored seven runs but lost 11-7 at Fenway last night (1st contest of a three-game series), giving them SIX straight losses and 11 of their last 12. Detroit checks in with a MLB-worst 8-22 record, including 4-13 on the road (only Colorado is worse at 2-11 away from Coors). Casey Mize (1-3, 5.06 ERA) gets the nod for Detroit and Martin Perez (0-2, 4.70 ERA) for Boston.

Mize made his MLB debut in 2020 and has made 12 starts for Detroit since taking the mound for his start back on August 19th of 2020. He's 1-6 in those 12 starts (Tigers are 4-8), posting a 6.05 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. As for current form, the Tigers have lost his most recent three starts, as he's allowed 14 ERs in 15.2 innings for a 8.04 ERA. I've never much liked Perez, who is still looking for his first win at Fenway Park as a member of the Red Sox. However, he takes the mound tonight hoping to build off his last start, in which he held the Texas Rangers to two runs (one earned) on five hits over 5.2 innings but couldn't earn a win.

Do I really trust Perez (NO!) but he's facing a Detroit team that ranks 30th (dead-last) in runs scored (2.87 RPG), in team batting (.197) and OPS (.599). Meanwhile, the struggling Mize faces a Boston lineup that's 4th in runs scored (4.97 RPG) plus first in team BA (.265) and OPS (.776). What's more, after Mize is gone, the Detroit bullpen owns MLB's worst ERA (6.66) and WHIP (1.68). Lay the 1 1/2-runs.

Good luck...Larry

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