|CHI (150) @ Fanduel|
Taking the Blackhawks for 7* here...
Chicago outplayed Florida and will have some more motivation after going down to 0-3 on the season. Blackhawks generated 58.5% of expected goals compared to 41.5% for the Panthers last game. Chicago has a horrible shooting percentage at 5 on 5 (1.5% -- 2nd worse in the league currently) that will certainly go up soon. It's just a matter of not getting unlucky. They have some skilled players on the team that should be able to put the puck in the back of the net. Panthers aren't that good to warrant a line this high.
This bet also fits a few systems. More than two systems at once is pretty rare.
-Last game of a winless 4 game road trip (9% ROI)
-Underdog with significantly more money % than bet %, implying bigger bets on average are on the underdog (8% ROI)
-Sub-50% win rate underdog on a 4+ game road trip (16% ROI)
Blackhawks should keep this game competitive and there's a lot of value on them at this line (and slightly lower as well).