I get the original argument against the Over here — Carey Price has been the Canadiens’ biggest problem this year and just essentially got his goalie coach fired, so this is his big game to bounce back for once, especially after allowing just 1 goal to Ottawa the other night. HOWEVER, both teams come into this game with multiple nights of rest, and Winnipeg is in its first matchup of the road trip coming into this one.
-Furthermore, the Over between these two teams, which is usually set at 6 or 6.5, is 9-4 in their L13 games, and Montreal’s biggest weakness, their penalty kill, is becoming one of WPG’s biggest strengths, as their PP is improving with every week
-The Jets’ penalty kill is also 6th worst in the league on the road at 72%. Neither team is producing a ton of 5v5 shooting chances, but WPG’s starter is struggling on the road this year and in his last 5 games