|Over 42.5 (-115) @ Draftkings|
T.M. Selection: Patriots/Bills OVER.
I like the over in the New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills game on Saturday. The Patriots have been steadily putting up 20+ points in 3 games in a row now. Their defense has not looked it's best in their games lately though, they have given up 30+ points in 2 of their previous 3 games. They gave up 30+ points to the Bills in their last meeting with them but they still put up 21 points themselves, and that game was being played in a lot of wind. This game is in Buffalo and the weather should be a lot better on Saturday for this game compared to the weather we saw in their other 2 meeting during the regular season. I think we are going to see a lot more throwing in this game with the weather not being a major factor and if the Patriots fall behind here they will be forced to throw the ball more and try to put up points quickly. The Patriots defense has shown some holed lately and the Bills offense has finally looked like it's back to normal the last few weeks. It started with a loss in Tampa Bay just over a month ago, their offense didn't look right before that game but they looked a lot better in that one putting up 27 points in that loss. Now they have won 4 games in a row since then and have put up 27+ points in all of those games. I think Josh Allen will be able to throw the ball better in this game and will be more accurate with his throws, pushing the ball down the field with more ease and being able to take the big shots. The last meeting already went way over this posted total and I expect this game to do the same with the weather being much better. The Bills offense looks back on track and they are going to feed in this game forcing the Patriots to play catch up the whole time. This is also the 3rd time these teams are facing each other this year so it will be hard to trick the offense on defense having seen a lot of each other lately so I expect this game to have scoring in it. I like the over in this game.
T.M. Prediction: 34-20 Bills.
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