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Pick Details


MLB EVENT
May 18 2021 at 6:40 PM ET
San Francisco
at
Cincinnati
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Loss (-1140) - Final Total 6
Pick
Over 8 (-114) @ pinnacle

Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach MLB Rotation #901 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 runs in Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants @ 6:40 ET - Won with this match-up yesterday and coming right back with the over again today. The Reds Luis Castillo is simply not right this season and now has a 7.71 ERA on the year. This is not the right match-up for him to bounce back as the Giants just saw him last month and had success plus they also enter this game with wins in 7 of their last 10 so they have extra confidence at the plate right now. San Francisco has averaged scoring 5.5 runs per game in last 8 road games. The Giants will have former Red Anthony DeSclafani on the mound for this one. Facing his former team, do not be surprised if he struggles as he tries to do too much here. So often hurler tend to overthrow when getting their first shot at a former employer and I expect that to be the case with DeSclafani here. Even off a disappointing loss yesterday, Cincinnati has been a great home team this season and they have a .498 slugging percentage as a host and have scored 6.7 runs per game at Great American Ball Park this season. The O/U is 7-1-1 in the Reds last 9 games. The Giants bullpen has a 5.18 ERA in road games this season and the Cincy bullpen has a 6.12 ERA in home games this season. With this total also dropping from an 8.5 to an 8, I feel we have excellent value here. 10* OVER the total in Cincinnati

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