Pick Details

Jun 10 2021 at 7:30 PM ET
Sport: NBA | Star Rating: 8.0 Evaluation: Loss (-888) - Final Total 169
Over 233 (-111) @ pinnacle

4 of 5 Experts with a pick on the total are aligned. 8* play on the Brooklyn vs Milwaukee OVER (Total).


Capper Analysis:



Despite Brooklyn shooting a blistering percentage from the field, the Under is 2-0 in their series with Milwaukee. Credit the blowout nature of the two games for some of that. Game 1 was on pace to go Over through three quarters. But then the fourth happened and only 40 total points were scored. We were still fine with how things played out; we had the Nets and the win was a lot easier than the 115-107 final score would seem to indicate. Game 2 was never close as Brooklyn led by 19 after one quarter, 26 at halftime and won by 39. Milwaukee never scored more than 24 in any quarter and ended up with a season-low 86 points for the game. It was only the fifth time in 2020-21 that they were held below 100. The other four all saw them score at least 96 points. After they went 14 for 57 on three point shots in the first two games, look for that facet of the game to improve by a lot now that the series heads to Brew City. This is a team that shoots almost 49% overall and 40% from three at home. Their season scoring average at the Fiserv Forum is 120.8 points/game. Brooklyn, even without James Harden, is going to keep shooting the ball well. Play on OVER


The Insiders Room: 10* TOP THURSDAY TOTAL - +$14,000 HOOPS RUN!

Why is Game 3 going to go OVER the total, when the first two games went well UNDER the number?

Clearly, Milwaukee is going to have to be the aggressor here. The Nets have somehow suddenly learned how to play defense now that the Playoffs are here.

But the shift in venue and the desperation level in which I expect the Bucks to play with today will help in contributing to Game 3 finally being more of a wide-open offensive affair.

Milwaukee plays better at home, and this is essentially a "do or die" game for the Bucks, as clearly a 3-0 hole against the Nets would just be too much to climb out of. The James Harden loss has just added fuel to the fire, but knowing that The Beard will return sometime in the next week or so will have Brooklyn feeling confident here as well.

The Bucks haven't been able to slow down the Nets whatsoever, and I don't expect that trend to change here.

While the first two games have been low-scoring defensive affairs, everything points to Game 3 finally eclipsing the posted number.

The play is the OVER.


Jesse Schule: Schule's NBA T-E-R-M-I-N-A-T-O-R - PERFECT NBA FINALS

Prior to this series I had said that the Nets seemed to have no interest in playign defense. They proved me wrong by holding the NBA's highest scoring team to fewer than 100 points per game in the first two games of this series. I wouldn't be surprised to see them look a little complacent here in Game 3 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are likely to come out firing on all cylinders, and I expect them to shoot the ball a lot better at home. The Nets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine playoff games as an underdog, and the over is 4-1 in the Nets last five Conference Semifinals games. The Bucks won both home games versus Brooklyn during the regular season, and both of those games went over 240 combined points.


American Sports Analysts: ASA's 10* NBA Totals Titan TOP GAME! 86% NBA!

ASA top play on 10* OVER 234 Brooklyn Nets @ Milwaukee Bucks Game 3 Thursday 7:30 PM ET - The Bucks have let their backers down in two different ways in this series by not being able to produce offensively. We are not about to support the Bucks here at home in this game but will try out luck on the Over again. Milwaukee has two straight abysmal shooting nights which clearly isn’t the norm for several reasons. First off, the Bucks were one of the best shooting teams all season long with the 3rd best overall FG percentage in the NBA and 5th best 3-points shooting. Secondly, the Nets have been a below average defensive team all season long ranking 22nd in overall defensive efficiency, 14th in 3-point defense and 7th in overall FG% D. The Bucks are a horrendous 14 of 57 from beyond the Arc in the series but we expect that to change back at home where the Bucks shot 39.8% on the season from the 3-point line. We know the Nets are going to score again as the Bucks don’t seem to have an answer for KD who has scored at will in both games thus far on 24 of 43 shooting and 51-points. Milwaukee was 29th in 3-point percentage defense this season so expect the Nets shooters to continue to get open looks. The Bucks average 120PPG at home this year and will have a much better offensive showing here. Bet OVER.




Best of Luck! 

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