Pick Details

(395) Wisconsin vs. Northwestern (396) 3:30 PM | Sat, Nov 21 2020
Sport: NCAAF | Star Rating: 8.0 Evaluation: Win (800) - Final Score WIS 7 at NW 17
7.5 NW (-109) @ pinnacle

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFB Rotation #396 Saturday 8* Northwestern Wildcats (+) vs Wisconsin Badgers @ 3:30 ET - This is fantastic line value on an undefeated home dog. Yes the Badgers are 2-0 but they faced a very bad Illinois team and a Michigan team that is in a world of hurt this season. Last week Wisconsin phenom QB Mertz, who absolutely is going to be a success story long-term, did start the game 1 for 5 and looked a bit "off" which is what I expected for the young QB's first road start. However, the good news for Mertz was that he was facing a Michigan team that it only takes one mistake from them to completely unravel. Indeed the Wolverines immediately turned the ball over a few times and the rest was history in yet another embarrassment for Harbaugh's team in Ann Arbor. The point is that neither the Badgers nor Mertz have really been tested by a strong defense. That changes this week. Northwestern is allowing just 14 points per game this season. Now one could argue that their schedule hasn't been overly tough either but they have won a pair of road games and have 4 games under their belt compared to the Badgers having just 2 because of covid issues this season. Also, the Wildcats did allow just 335.7 yards per game last season to rank in the top 25 defenses in the nation and so this is not a fluke what we've seen from them this season. The offense will struggle some against a very strong Wisconsin defense but to get 7.5 points here as a home dog going against a young QB still getting his feet wet on the Big Ten road is something I won't pass up. The Cats offensive attack has been balanced so far this season between the run and the pass and they have averaged 427 yards per game in their two home games. Even if they don't do enough for the outright upset here they absolutely should do enough for the all important cover. 8* NORTHWESTERN


What does ‘Star Rating’ mean?
Star Rating is the number of units the handicapper is risking on the bet. Therefore, if the Star Rating is 7.0, it is a 7-unit pick. On plus odds picks, the handicapper is risking their Star Rating unit amount. On negative odds picks, the handicapper is betting enough to win their Star Rating unit amount.
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