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Pick Details

BAL
at
MIA
(971) Baltimore vs. Miami (972) 1:10 PM | Wed, Apr 21 2021
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 8.0 Evaluation: Win (800)
Pick
MIA (-153) @ pinnacle

8* Miami (1:10 ET): This series got underway yesterday with Baltimore winning 7-5. For the Orioles, that was a little bit of payback for last season when they were swept by Miami, losing all four times they played. They won yday despite three errors and getting outhit. They came into the game with an 8-26 all-time record vs the Marlins, their worst win percentage against any team in either league. Obviously, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the home team bounce back here and I think they will. 

Trevor Rogers will toe the rubber here for Miami. Through three starts, he’s averaging an impressive 13.8 strikeouts per nine innings. That’s fourth best in the National League. A former 1st round draft choice (2017), Rogers has allowed 2 ER or less in all three of his starts thus far. His best outing came on April 10th when he threw six shutout innings of three-hit ball against the Mets and finished with 10 strikeouts. He won’t have to face Anthony Santander today as the Orioles’ RF exited last night’s game with an injury. 

The Marlins are still without Starling Marte, who is perhaps their best all-around player, however I still think their lineup can get to O’s starter Bruce Zimmerman. Save for a shutout loss Sunday, the Marlins have scored at four runs in seven of the last eight games and they’ve scored six or more four times. A big key here is that the Fish are averaging 7.5 runs this season in games where they face a left-handed starter. I don’t think it’ll take many runs to win this one as Baltimore has been held to three runs or fewer eight times already. 8* Miami

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