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Pick Details


NCAAB EVENT
Mar 22 2021 at 2:40 PM ET
Oklahoma
at
Gonzaga
Sport: NCAAB | Star Rating: 8.0 Evaluation: Loss (-856) - Final Score GONZ 87 at OKLA 71
Pick
14.5 OKLA (-107) @ Draftkings

8* Take Oklahoma (#817)

Here’s what I wrote about Houston yesterday prior to their wire-2-wire non-cover against Rutgers, a game they were lucky to win at all:

“Houston is power rated through the roof, a team who’s simply being asked to lay too many points to a quality foe.    The AAC was not an exceptionally deep conference this year, in direct contrast to the Big 10.   And the Cougs were good right out of the gate in November and December, then feasted on the AAC all season.  The Big 10 was really, really good this year, and unlike the AAC, it was exceptionally deep.  Teams like Rutgers that finished in the middle of the standings were still good enough to beat the likes of Big Dance entrants Illinois, Michigan State, Purdue and Maryland in conference play.”

You can literally take out the word ‘Houston’ and put in the word ‘Gonzaga’, take out ‘Big 10’ and put in ‘Big 12’; take out ‘Rutgers’ and put in ‘Oklahoma’; take out ‘AAC’ and put in ‘WCC’.

The Zags were great right out of the gate, then feasted on the weak in what was something of a down year for the WCC.  Their power rating number is the highest in college basketball and they haven’t been tested in any way, shape or form in months.  The Sooners were good enough to beat the likes of Oral Roberts, West Virginia (twice), Kansas, Texas, Alabama and Missouri; truly battle tested in a way that Gonzaga isn’t. 

Even more importantly in this pointspread range, Boomer Sooner hung tough, basically, with everybody everywhere.  Each of their last seven losses – six of which came against other tourney teams – came by seven points or less.  Lon Kruger’s teams are ‘bet-on’ as big dogs – they don’t lose contact very often.   I don’t expect the Sooners to lose contact here – too many points!  Take Oklahoma.

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