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Pick Details

SCHAL
at
Frei
() Schalke 04 vs. Freiburg () 9:30 AM | Sat, Apr 17 2021
Sport: Bundesliga | Star Rating: 8.0 Evaluation: Win (800)
Pick
Frei (-141) @ pinnacle

8* Freiburg (9:30 AM ET): Something happened last week that had occurred only one other time during this entire Bundesliga campaign. Schalke actually won a match. Now the club’s second win of the season isn’t about to save them from relegation. The last place team in the table has only 13 points (10 fewer than the next worst team) and a -53 goal differential. To put that GD in perspective, the second worst (GD) in the Bundesliga is Arminia Bielefeld’s -24. There is a good chance that Schalke’s impending relegation fate will be officially sealed by this weekend (to be determined by results elsewhere). 

I think being off a win sets Schalke up as a clear fade on Saturday as they visit Freiburg. Given how poorly Schalke’s season has gone, it seems downright shocking that the price is so cheap here to go against them on the road. Now Freiburg is dealing with some injuries, but this middle of the table side still has more than enough to get the full three points here. Now I know they’ve lost four of five overall. But that should only serve to have them extra motivated for this very winnable match, especially on the heels of a BRUTAL 1-0 loss to Bielefeld where an own-goal was the difference maker. 

Despite the recent poor form, Freiburg is very much a “middle of the table” side and should remain there by season’s end. A win here could actually move them up into a 7th place tie, depending what else happens on Saturday. The idea that Schalke would win two in a row seems almost ludicrous seeing as they’ve haven’t gone two straight w/o losing at least one time since November! The reverse fixture, played back in December, was 2-0 Freiburg.  8* Freiburg

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