|7.5 NE (-120) @ sportsinteraction|
Play - New England Patriots (Game 482).
Edges - Patriots: 10-1 ATS last eleven games as a home dog; and Bill Belichick 16-2 ATS with the Pats as a dog off a loss when his team is .500 or worse … Bills: 5-12 SU and 3-13-1 ATS off consecutive wins when facing sub .750 AFC opponents, including 0-5-1 ATS in division games … We seal the deal noting that Belichick is 10-3 SU / 12-1 ATS at home in his career when looking to avenge a same season division loss, including 11-0 ATS with a win percentage of greater than .333. With the Bills off a division-clinching win for the first time since 1995, and the Pats looking to avoid a losing season with a win here and next week against the Jets, we recommend a strong 7* play on New England. Thank you and good luck as always.