Pick Details

UNC
at
FSU
(125) North Carolina vs. Florida State (126) 7:30 PM | Sat, Oct 17 2020
Sport: NCAAF | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Loss (-1100) - Final Total 59
Pick
Over 64 (-110) @ 888sport

#125/126 ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER 64 Points – North Carolina @ Florida State, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET - First off we are well aware of the injury situation for Florida State here. QB Jordan Travis is dealing with a hand injury. He has participated in practice this week and was listed as the starter on the depth chart and we do expect him to play here. However, even if he does not start then it will be former starter James Blackman back in the starting role. At home and with a chance to redeem himself from a rough beginning to the season (which cost him his starting job), Blackman would be likely to respond big here given the opportunity. The Seminoles also lost WR Tamorrion Terry to a season-ending injury in the Notre Dame game. Though he was off to a great start for the Noles this season, Terry wasn't even listed as a starter early this season and had worked his way into that role. Would FSU love to have Terry? Of course! But even without him there is plenty of WR talent on this Florida State team and they will be testing out a North Carolina defense that just got scorched for 495 yards by Virginia Tech last week! The Tar Heels first two games this season were against Syracuse and Boston College and that helped mask some issues on the defensive side of the ball. The Tar Heels defense absolutely has issues and that is what the Hokies exposed last week. However, the other side of the ball is where UNC really has no issues. That is why they won last week's game despite allowing 45 points as North Carolina exploded for 56 points on 656 yards of offense. The Heels have a fantastic backfield as Carter and Williams ran for 214 and 169 yards, respectively, plus each had a pair of rushing TDs in the win over Virginia Tech. Also, QB Howell was 18 of 23 for 257 yards and 3 TDs and now takes on a Noles defense that is allowing nearly 70% completion percentage on the season. The Seminoles defense having major issues with 39.3 points per game allowed the last 3 games and the Tar Heels are averaging 7.56 yards per play on offense to rank among the most efficient offenses in the nation. The Noles, on the other hand, allowing 6.49 yards per play on defense to rank among the least efficient defenses in the nation. On offense however Florida State plays at a fast pace (76.5 offensive plays per game) and did put up 26 points on a Fighting Irish defense that had allowed a total of only 13 points in its first two games combined! You can see exactly why we're expecting both teams to enjoy plenty of success lighting up the scoreboard in this one as our computer math model is forecasting a shootout. Ideal weather conditions expected for this one as well. Both teams getting well into the 30’s mean an OVER here and Tar Heels (double digit favorite here) have a good shot to get into the 40's or 50's!

Covers Logo
50% off your first purchase
at covers experts

USE PROMO CODE:
BONUS50

Winning Starts Here

FAQs

What does ‘Star Rating’ mean?
Star Rating is the number of units the handicapper is risking on the bet. Therefore, if the Star Rating is 7.0, it is a 7-unit pick. On plus odds picks, the handicapper is risking their Star Rating unit amount. On negative odds picks, the handicapper is betting enough to win their Star Rating unit amount.
We are constantly evaluating online sportsbooks and line feeds to ensure accuracy with our Expert picks. We typically have between 5-10 legal and reputable sportsbooks for our handicappers to select lines from. They are required to select the current line from these featured books so authenticity can always be confirmed – no stale lines!
All of your purchased picks will appear under My Experts >
Covers Logo
50% off your first purchase
at covers experts

USE PROMO CODE:
BONUS50

Winning Starts Here

Get the best sports betting information delivered straight to your inbox for free.
By signing up for the Covers newsletter, you agree to receive electronic communications from Covers about our products and services, as well as other content that may be of interest to you
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo