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Pick Details


MLB EVENT
May 5 2021 at 7:05 PM ET
Milwaukee
at
Philadelphia
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Loss (-1340)
Pick
MIL (-134) @ pinnacle

10* Milwaukee (7:05 ET): The Brewers have lost three straight, including the first two games of this series (both by one run). But despite the losing streak, this remains a quality ballclub and my favorite to win the NL Central this year. While it’s true they have a negative YTD run differential, that’s largely a byproduct of one bad game (Sunday’s 16-4 loss to the Dodgers). The Brew Crew have been getting outstanding starting pitching thus far and I expect that to be the case tonight when they send Freddy Peralta to the mound.

Peralta is unbeaten in five starts (3-0) with a 4-1 TSR. He’s yet to allow more than 3 ER in any start and is coming off an incredibly impressive outing where he held the Dodgers to just one hit (a solo HR) in six innings last Friday. Peralta has allowed just 12 hits so far (in 26 IP) and has 39 strikeouts. Despite losing each of the L2 days, the Brewers are still 9-5 on the road where they are outscoring the opposition by a full run per game. They were also 8-2 off a loss coming into this series. 

The Phillies lead the NL East right now, but that’s not saying much as their WL record is 15-15 and they have a -15 run differential. They come into today batting just .216 the L7 games. I don’t expect much out of starter Chase Anderson, who has a 6.39 ERA and 1.657 WHIP in his L3 starts. The Phils are just 1-4 with Anderson on the mound this season and have yet to score more than four runs in any of those five starts. Anderson did pick up a win his last time out, but that was against the light-hitting Mets. 10* Milwaukee

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