Schalke vs Ausburg
PICK: pinnacle @ Under 2.5 (-101)
DATE: May 24, 2020 - 7:30 AM
STAR RATING: 8.0
EXPERT: Soccer Authority
EVALUATION: Loss (-808) - Final Total 3
We're playing Under 2.5 Total Goals - 8* play
As we mentioned last week, Augsburg are going to be defence first under Heiko Herrlich and with the manager back among his players, we should start to see them slowly improve.
Last weekend he couldn’t be with the squad due to him breaking quarantine protocol but he will be there this week and has trained earlier in the week.
Against Wolfsburg last weekend they gave away just one big chance and allowed a total of 1.38xGA and 4 attempts on their goal. Considering Schalke are considerably worse than Wolfsburg in attack this season we can expect Augsburg to limit their chances.
Schalke are without Harit (most creative outlet) Todibo (Barca loanee who has been starting) Benjamin Stambouli (RCB) and Omar Mascarell who has been their start DMC
Harit, in particular, should be missed here, he has 10 G+A in the Bundesliga this season which is the highest in the squad.
Augsburg have their own absentees but the only one of significance is Finnbogason who hasn’t featured that regularly anyway.
Schalke have been less than prolific lately against bottom-half teams, they’ve managed just 1.2 goals per match in their last 10
Schalke have the 5th worst chance creation numbers in the entire league (home). Only Hertha, Union, Freiburg, and Dusseldorf have been worst in that respect
Schalke’s form has been so poor that they’ve managed just one goal in their last 5 Bundesliga games. Against Mainz, Leipzig, Koln, Bayern, and Dortmund they failed to score or register over 1.00 in xG
Verdict: There are a lot of reasons to be optimistic about a low scoring affair. I know it’s the Bundesliga but neither team will want to play an overly open game.