Pick Details

Schalke vs Ausburg

PICK: pinnacle @ Under 2.5 (-101)

DATE: May 24, 2020 - 7:30 AM

STAR RATING: 8.0

SPORT: BUND

EXPERT: Soccer Authority

EVALUATION: Loss (-808) - Final Total 3

ANALYSIS:

We're playing Under 2.5 Total Goals - 8* play

  • As we mentioned last week, Augsburg are going to be defence first under Heiko Herrlich and with the manager back among his players, we should start to see them slowly improve.

  • Last weekend he couldn’t be with the squad due to him breaking quarantine protocol but he will be there this week and has trained earlier in the week.

  • Against Wolfsburg last weekend they gave away just one big chance and allowed a total of 1.38xGA and 4 attempts on their goal. Considering Schalke are considerably worse than Wolfsburg in attack this season we can expect Augsburg to limit their chances.

  • Schalke are without Harit (most creative outlet) Todibo (Barca loanee who has been starting) Benjamin Stambouli (RCB) and Omar Mascarell who has been their start DMC

  • Harit, in particular, should be missed here, he has 10 G+A in the Bundesliga this season which is the highest in the squad.

  • Augsburg have their own absentees but the only one of significance is Finnbogason who hasn’t featured that regularly anyway.

  • Schalke have been less than prolific lately against bottom-half teams, they’ve managed just 1.2 goals per match in their last 10

  • Schalke have the 5th worst chance creation numbers in the entire league (home). Only Hertha, Union, Freiburg, and Dusseldorf have been worst in that respect

  • Schalke’s form has been so poor that they’ve managed just one goal in their last 5 Bundesliga games. Against Mainz, Leipzig, Koln, Bayern, and Dortmund they failed to score or register over 1.00 in xG


Verdict: There are a lot of reasons to be optimistic about a low scoring affair. I know it’s the Bundesliga but neither team will want to play an overly open game.



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