Pick Details

(29) Vancouver vs. St. Louis (30) 6:30 PM | Fri, Aug 14 2020
Sport: NHL | Star Rating: 9.0 Evaluation: Loss (-1287)
STL (-143) @ pinnacle

6 of 7 Experts (86%) with a pick on the moneyline are aligned. 9* play on the Tampa Bay Lightning (Straight-up).


Cappers Analysis:



St. Louis, who won the Stanley Cup last June and had the most points in the Western Conference at the time of the stoppage, has not won a game since March. They are 0-3-1 since the restart and this series with Vancouver got off to an auspicious start Wednesday. They were beaten 5-2. It was the Canucks 4th straight win and they’ve scored 17 goals. Certainly, it feels as if the Canucks have the momentum right now. But it would obviously be foolish to write off the Blues. The third period has been the problem thus far. The Cup Champs have been outscored 9-0 in the final 20 minutes of the previous four games. They have a +2 goal differential in the first two periods. In the round robin, they lost in the final second of regulation and another game in a shootout. The other saw them jump out to an early 2-0. In Game 1 vs. Vancouver, they had a 31-22 edge in shots on goal. Look for the Blues to reverse their late game woes in Game 2 and tie this series up. Play on ST LOUIS

Ben Burns: 3-GAME NHL

After dropping Game 1, the Blues are going to be all business here. This is a playoff battle-tested team, one which isn't going to roll over. The Canucks, on the other hand, are in unfamiliar territory. The Canucks have a big top line but not so much after that. However, the Blues showed an ability to slow it down, when playing 5-on-5. Expect the champs to slow down that top-line at even strength, while using a disciplined approach to limit their time in the penalty box, en route to a highly important victory.

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Vancouver took Game One of this series with a convincing 5-2 win as it was able to convert three of six power play opportunities. The Canucks registered just 22 shots on goal, its lowest since the restart but they were able to outscore the Blues 3-0 in the third period and St. Louis has been outscored 9-0 in the third in the postseason. The Blues are winless in four games in the bubble but we can expect a bounce back on Friday as this is a team that can respond as St. Louis lost Game One in the Western Conference Final and the Stanley Cup Final last season but responded to win Game Two each time.

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The Blues are in desperate need of a win Friday, something they have not done going all the way back to March 11th. They dropped all three games in the round-robin format, causing them to drop from the 1-seed to the 4-seed. Then they lost Game 1 to the Canucks by a score of 5-2. They are the only team still playing yet to win a game in the bubble. With their backs against the wall, I like their chances of “circling the wagons” for Game 2 and picking up the victory.

The disturbing trend for the Blues here in Edmonton has been their play in the third period. They have been outscored 9-0 in the 3P of the four games including 3-0 by the Canucks on Wednesday. Prior to that, they’d lost a game to Colorado at the buzzer, blew a multi-goal lead to Vegas and lost in a shootout to Dallas. So they’ve been in every game. It should be noted that the Blues have never lost more than four in a row all season. The last losing streak to go longer than that was in February of 2018.

Goalie Jordan Binnington had an 8-2 record w/ a 1.78 goals against average and .937 save percentage off a loss in LY’s playoff run (which of course resulted in the Blues winning the Stanley Cup). Vancouver’s shooting percentage so far is 12.3%, which is really high and isn’t likely to continue. Knowing that teams who take the first two games go on to win the series over 86% of the time, the Blues basically have to win today. They will.


I think the defending champs will bounce back here. St. Louis has been here before and it's still loaded with veteran talent that has been through the grinder and knows how to bounce back. The Canucks are largely in unchartered territory here and I do think that their inexperience will hurt them in trying to close out their opponent here. Also note that Van is a poor 3-8 in its last 11 after a three goals or more victory in its previous outing. All things considered, I believe this line could/should in fact be a lot larger, swinging the value in favor of the home side here!


The set-up: This game was close until the third period and then the Canucks pulled away for the 5-2 win. The defending champs are still loaded with talent and veteran leadership though and I believe they're going to find a way here to bounce back. The Canucks young core is hungry, but they're in unchartered territory here now. I believe that St. Louis has the goaltending and pedigree to bounce back in this spot.

The pick: And I also think this does indeed set up as a classic "letdown" position for Vancouver, which is 5-10 in its last 15 after scoring five or more goals and winning by three or more goals in its previous outing. The dogs were barking in Game 1, but look for St. Louis to deliver this time around.


Cappers Against:

Spread Knowledge: NHL Excellent Machine Grade *B* Value Pick - 1



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