Pick Details

(921) Seattle vs. Houston (922) 9:10 PM | Fri, Aug 14 2020
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 7.0 Evaluation: Win (700)
HOU (-202) @ pinnacle

3 of 3 Experts (100%) with a pick on the moneyline are aligned. 7* play on the Houston Astros (Straight-up).


Cappers Analysis:



While the price may initially seem steep, this is an absolute mismatch and the price could actually easily be higher. Kichuchi has a 5.28 ERA thus far. Valdez, on the other hand, has a 2.38 ERA. While Valdez hasn't gotten much support yet, he should here. On the road, Kichuchi's ERA climbs to an obscene 12.26 to go along with an obscene 2.452 WHIP. Houston with plenty of other advantages including much better bullpen stats. M's 48-63 against southpaws last 2+ seasons. Astros 81-41 against southpaws, during same span. Astros roll.

Power Sports: 3-Game MLB POWER SWEEP

The Astros are another team that needs to pick it up as they’re currently third in the AL West with an 8-10 record. They did win Wednesday, 5-1 against San Francisco, to take two of three in that series after previously dropping five straight games - all on the road. Despite the losing record, Houston still can claim a positive run differential, which tells me things are not nearly as bad as they may appear. A weekend series against bottom-feeder Seattle should be just what the doctor ordered.

The Mariners are last in the division with a 7-13 record and have baseball’s worst run differential at -35. They’ve lost two straight (both to Texas) and like Houston had Thursday off. It was their first off day of the season. Still, that’s not enough to cure what ails them. Starter Yusei Kikuchi has poor numbers in his three starts this season (5.28 ERA, 1.304 WHIP) and against Houston (6.46 ERA in five career starts). Seattle’s bullpen (6.78 ERA) is also very bad and a contributing factor to why the team is allowing 5.8 rpg this season.

We saw the bullpen woes come to the forefront yet again on Wednesday when the M’s blew a three-run lead in a 7-4 loss to Texas. The Astros’ lineup could very well see Rookie of the Year Yordan Alvarez in it for the first time of the season. We know that Framber Valdez will be starting and he’s off a strong outing against Oakland where he allowed just two runs (only one earned) in seven innings.

Ricky Tran: **176-107 +$38,160 All Sports Run** - Ricky's MLB Punisher

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

Key Trends:

- The Mariners are 3-9 in their last 12 overall.

- The Mariners are 6-21 in their last 27 road games versus a left-handed starter.

- The Astros are 22-6 in their last 28 home games versus a left-handed starter.

Verdict: The Mariners are in big trouble in Texas.



Best of luck!

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What does ‘Star Rating’ mean?
Star Rating is the number of units the handicapper is risking on the bet. Therefore, if the Star Rating is 7.0, it is a 7-unit pick. On plus odds picks, the handicapper is risking their Star Rating unit amount. On negative odds picks, the handicapper is betting enough to win their Star Rating unit amount.
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