Pick Details

EDM
at
CHI
(59) Edmonton vs. Chicago (60) 6:45 PM | Fri, Aug 07 2020
Sport: NHL | Star Rating: 9.0 Evaluation: Loss (-1098)
Pick
EDM (-122) @ pinnacle

6 of 7 Experts (86%) with a pick on the moneyline are aligned. 9* play on the Edmonton Oilers (Staight-up).

 

Cappers Analysis:

Ben Burns: 3-GAME NHL

I lost with the Oilers in Game 3. Despite that tough loss, I still feel very much the same way. Here's what I said, prior to Wednesday's game: "I won with the Hawks in Game 1 and the Oilers in Game 2. So, I've had a good handle on it, thus far. I believe that the Oilers are the superior team though. By the end of Game 2, they'd broken the Hawks' spirit. They were facing a lot of pressure coming in but now they've got that first victory out of the way, I expect them to carry the momentum into this evening's game. The Hawks are just 54-78 (-13.7) in the revenge role the past few seasons. So, if they can't beat a team once, it doesn't necessarily mean they're going to bounce back in the next meeting. In fact, during that span, Chicago is only 45-78 (-22.7) against teams with a winning record. Look for McDavid and co. to win this critical affair." The Oilers did indeed come very close to winning Game 3, as they were up 3-2 late in the third.

Matt Fargo: Fargo's 10* NHL Friday Breakaway (388-310 +$32,978 Run)

The Oilers had bounces going their wrong way in Game Three and are now down 2-1 in this best of five series. The Oilers committed seven penalties during the first and second periods of Game Three, disrupting their overall game. The Blackhawks had three power-play opportunities in each of the first two periods in Game Three, a total of 9 minutes, 10 seconds with the man advantage, and scored on only one of those six chances. Edmonton is first in the NHL in the power play at 29.5 percent while sitting second in power play kill at 84.4 percent. There has been plenty of scoring and many multi-goal swings in this series and with the series on the line, expect Edmonton to step it up and force a Game Five.

Scott Rickenbach: 3rd of 3 in NHL 3-pack

The Oilers lost on a very late goal in Game 3. It was no fault of the goalie on that play but one thing for certain is that neither team has been particularly sharp between the pipes as goals continue piling up through this series. I know that the Blackhawks have played very well in this series and have Edmonton on the edge of elimination. However, I just don't see it happening. After the Oilers got off the initial shock of an ugly 1st period stretch in Game 1 of this series, they have played well for long stretches and I like the coaching edge here in a crucial game as well. Edmonton is coached by Dave Tippett and Chicago is coached by Jeremy Colliton. Note that Tippett was playing in the NHL before Colliton was even born. Yes he is 24 years his senior and I look for Tippett to rally the troops here for the Oilers. Teams off a loss in this post-season have responded well for the most part with the lone exception being a flat Rangers team that was ousted by a Hurricanes team that was firing on all cylinders. So not including the Canes series or the round robin games, we're talking about only the 5-game series here, teams off a loss are 12-3 so far. That is an 80% cash in rate and I am more than willing to lay the fair price (-130 range) here with a desperate, more talented, and better coached Oilers team.

Power Sports: *10* NHL GAME OF THE WEEK (POWER SPORTS) ~ 10-4 This Week!

The Oilers are on the brink here, facing elimination, which wasn’t supposed to be the case as they entered the series as the #5 seed while Chicago was #12. The Blackhawks were last in the Central when the season shutdown but haven’t looked like a place team in a wild, high-scoring series that has seen 13 goals scored per side. Five of Edmonton’s goals have come from Connor McDavid, so he certainly hasn’t been the problem. Goaltending clearly has for the Oilers as Mike Smith was horrendous in Game 1 and Mikko Koskinen has been no better in the last two. Still, I look for McDavid and the Oilers to force a deciding Game 5.

Goaltending has been no “walk in the park” for Chicago either. Corey Crawford has a 4.33 GAA and .859 save percentage thus far in the series. Those numbers are worse than Koskinen’s. Though they need to be given credit for winning twice so far, I’m just not a believer in this Blackhawks club that is just 10-25 SU their L35 games playing on a single day’s rest.

Dan Kaiser: NHL 3

Analysis to come.

Larry Ness: Larry's NHL 3-in-1 STP

Chicago entered the postseason as the 12th and final Western Conference playoff team after a 32-30-8 regular-season record, finishing NINE points behind fifth-seeded Edmonton. The Blackhawks beat the Oilers 6-4 in Game 1 and the final score was closer than the actual game. Chicago outshot Edmonton 42-29 for the game and outscored the Oilers 3-0 in even-strength play. The Oilers scored twice in the final four minutes to make the score respectable. Edmonton bounced back with a 6-3 Game 2 win, highlighted by Connor McDavid's first-ever playoff hat trick. Chicago then grabbed a 2-1 series lead on Wednesday with a dramatic comeback victory. The Blackhawks trailed by a goal late in the third period, but Matthew Highmore tied the score with 5:47 remaining and Jonathan Toews put Chicago on top with 1:16 to go.
 
That sets the stage for Chicago to advance to the Western Conference quarterfinals with a win in Game 4 against Edmonton. Chicago goaltender Corey Crawford has started all three games so far, but only owns a 4.33 GAA and an .859 save percentage during the series. Edmonton started Mike Smith in goal for Game 1 but after he allowed five goals on 23 shots, he was pulled from the game. Mikko Koskinen stopped 18 of 19 shots in relief of Smith, allowing only a power-play goal from Kubalik. Game 1 marked the first playoff appearance of Koskinen's NHL career and he's played the bulk of the minutes this series. Koskinen is 1-1-0 with a 3.21 GAA and an .886 save percentage.
 
The Blackhawks have won three Stanley Cup titles since 2010 but this edition in NO WAY resembles those teams (2010, 2013 & 2015). The Oilers have something of a unique home-ice advantage since all Western Conference playoff games (and the Stanley Cup Final) are being played in Edmonton but then again, there are NO fans plus the Oilers are staying within the same "bubble" environment as every other team throughout the postseason. That said, I still believe Edmonton has an edge playing in its home arena. The Oilers "let one slip away" in Game 3 but can force a Game 5 with a win here.

Cappers Against:

Spread Knowledge: NHL Excellent Machine Grade *B* Value Pick - 3

 

Best of luck!

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