Pick Details

SD
at
COL
(973) San Diego vs. Colorado (974) 8:10 PM | Sat, Aug 01 2020
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Win (1100)
Pick
COL (110) @ pinnacle

ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Money Line: Colorado Rockies over San Diego Padres, Saturday at 8:10 PM ET

The Rockies took a 5-4 lead to the top of the 9th last night.  The Padres then tied it on a solo bomb and then won it on a 3-run shot with 2 outs!  Big win for San Diego for sure but we look for the home team to bounce right back today!  The Padres are off to a good start this season but that has them a little over-valued now and we're going to take advantage.  Coming into this season San Diego and Colorado were very close in terms of their win total projections for the shortened 2020 season 60-game schedule.  That said, for the Padres to now be favored on the road in this situation is a little bit much!  San Diego finished 13 games UNDER .500 in road games last season.  The Rockies finished 5 games OVER .500 in home games last season.  In looking at this pitching match-up today note that San Diego's Joey Lucchesi struggled as he got deeper into his first start.  Also, Lucchesi was great at home last season but went 2-6 with a 6.22 ERA in his road starts last season and Coors Field tops the list of unfriendly sites for a visiting pitcher!  As for the Rockies starter, Kyle Freeland, his first start saw him face the minimum 3 batters in each of the final 3 innings of his 6-inning start!  He got stronger as the outing went on!  He looked like the pitcher we saw in 2018 whom went 17-7 with a 2.85 ERA including 10-2 with a 2.40 ERA in his home starts.  Though Freeland struggled at home last season he also struggled overall last season but his hard work to "return to form" coming into this season has a great chance of paying off and it sure looks like he's back the way he pitched in his first start!  Keep in mind, unlike most Rockies pitchers, Freeland was better at home than on the road in both 2017 and 2018.  He is very familiar with pitching at Coors Field and gets the better of Lucchesi in this one and the Rockies get immediate payback for last night's late loss.  Bet the Rockies on the money line in evening action Saturday

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