Pick Details

HOU
at
POR
(761) Houston vs. Portland (762) 9:00 PM | Tue, Aug 04 2020
Sport: NBA | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Win (1000) - Final Score POR 110 at HOU 102
Pick
4 POR (-110) @ bet365

4 of 4 Experts (100%) with a pick against the spread are aligned. 10* play on the Portland Trailblazers (Spread).

 

Cappers Analysis:

 

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Houston is 2-0 since the restart with wins over Dallas and Milwaukee. Impressive as that sounds, the Rockets trailed by double digits in both games. They were down 11 entering the 4th quarter vs. the Mavericks and needed all of James Harden’s 49 points to pull out a 152-149 overtime victory. Against the Bucks, the much maligned defense once again stepped up late. It is impressive that the Rockets could beat the Bucks despite shooting below 40% but we also don’t think they can keep winning in the manner we’ve seen the first two games. Portland has also played two close games, but split the pair. They were down big to Boston on Sunday, but fought back to make it only a 4-point loss. That was after they beat Memphis in overtime in the first game. Currently in ninth place in the Western Conference, the Blazers are well within the four-games of 8th place Memphis to force a play-in series. Still they really could use the win here as they neck and neck with San Antonio for ninth place. Portland beat Houston twice in the regular season so they’re capable of winning outright again.They are healthier now than they were back then. The Rockets are 2-5 ATS this year coming off an upset win.

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The Blazers know they can beat this Rocket team; they've taken two of three meetings this season, both in 2020. I believe that they're catching Houston at the right time. Not only are the Rockets off b2b wins against Doncic (OT) and Giannis but they've got Lebron on deck. Note that both Houston's first two games have been decided by four points while both of Portland's have been decided by five or less. Rockets are just 8-14 ATS past couple of seasons, when off an upset win as an underdog, 2-5 ATS their last seven in that situation. Grab the points.

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Portland is 1-1 since the restart having defeated Memphis and losing to Boston by four points last time out. This is a must win game for the Blazers which sit two games behind the Grizzlies for the last playoff spot in the Western Conference. This is a good matchup as they have won the last two meetings, one home and one away, by 10 and 13 points respectively. Houston is 2-0 since returning to action, winning both games by four points, and the Rockets have moved into fourth place in the conference thanks to a pair of Utah losses. That being said, they are overpriced in this spot against a team with a lot more on the line fighting with five other teams to grab that last postseason spot.

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This game without question "means more" to the Blazers and while clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end I'll recommend that you grab as many points as you can. The Blazers are 1-1 in the NBA re-set and they went 2-1 vs. the Rockets in the regular season. Portland had time to heal up some injuries, especially to its big men, which I think will play a big part in this particular matchup. The Rockets are always going to put up a fight with James Harden and Russell Westbrook in the line-up, but I like Portland's size and determination to neutralize them this evening. I'm grabbing the points, but as mentioned off the top, I wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset!

 

 

Best of luck!

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