Pick Details

(1) Vegas vs. Colorado (2) 3:00 PM | Sat, Aug 08 2020
Sport: NHL | Star Rating: 8.0 Evaluation: Loss (-928)
COL (-116) @ pinnacle

5 of 6 Experts (83%) with a pick on the moneyline are aligned. 8* play on the Colorado Avalanche (Straight-up).


Cappers Analysis:


Alex B Smith: NHL Round Robin Finale Top Play

It's a battle for the Top of the Western Conference on Saturday afternoon in Edmonton as the Vegas Golden Knights battle the Colorado Avalanche. The Avs are a loaded, dangerous & healthy hockey club that will give this West fits once the games start to count, meanwhile VGK has a bit of a Goalie dilemma with Robin Lehner & Marc-Andre Fleury trading off starts over the last couple of games, and while neither goaltender took full control of the #1 spot, both are capable of stealing a game and taking the reigns moving forward. I'm back the better squad here at a pick'em price. Play on Colorado


The Vegas Golden Knights and the Colorado Avalanche are both heading into the weekend perfect 2-0-0 in the Edmonton bubble. They will consequently square off for the top seed in the Conference on Saturday, and I like the Avs to be the team to come through.

While Vegas can match up with Colorado on the offensive end, the Avs have a pretty significant edge defensively. Note that the Knights have allowed a total of seven goals in their games against St. Louis and Dallas and netminder Marc-Andre Fleury went 0-2 with a 7.13 GAA against Colorado during the regular season. Colorado has allowed only one goal in the bubble and shut out the Stars last time out.

Last but not least, this will be the third meeting of the season, with Colorado winning the first two 6-1 and 7-3.


I like the Avalanche in this battle for the #1 seed in the Western Conference. Both they and the Golden Knights are 2-0. But Vegas has had to come back from multi-goal deficits in both games. Colorado had the “buzzer-beater” against St. Louis, but then turned in a dominant 4-0 win over Dallas on Wednesday, which was another game where we backed them.

In position to grab the top seed in the West, one could argue the Avs are deserving of being in this spot. They owned the best goal differential among Western Conference teams before the lockdown (+46). League-wide, only the Bruins and Lightning outscored their opponents by a wider margin. The Avs have also been an exceptional road team all year long with a league-best 26-11-2 SU record (including the bubble). They've had an extra day to prepare for this all-important showdown as well.

The underdog is 4-0 SU the past four head-to-head meetings between these two clubs. Unfortunately for Vegas, they were the favorite in all four games! Earlier this year, the Avs dealt them two blowout losses with a 13-4 goal advantage. Now Colorado lines up as the favorite. That the Golden Knights have given up seven goals in two games is a bit concerning. The Avs have allowed just one and bring a five-period shutout streak into Saturday’s showdown. I look for Colorado to earn the #1 seed.

Scott Rickenbach: Rickenbach 10* NHL *GAME OF THE WEEK* He is on HOT 83% RUN!

The Avalanche are the best team in the NHL right now. They are healthier than they have been in a long, long time and it is amazing that MacKinnon, Landeskog, and Rantanen haven't scored yet in the first two round robin games and yet the Avs still have looked so good in winning the two games by a combined score of 6 to 1. In the regular season Colorado beat the Golden Knights by a combined score of 13 to 4 in their two meetings and those two games were at Vegas no less! Now these teams meet on neutral ice and the #1 seed for the upcoming NHL playoffs is on the line. I don't see the Avalanche being denied. They are the much better team. Yes, Vegas has also gone 2-0 in this round robin but they had a miracle rally against Dallas and then played a St Louis team that seemed surprisingly uninspired hockey. The Golden Knights, even with Blues seeming a bit sluggish, still had to rally from an early 2-0 hole and later still trailed 4-3 going to the 3rd period. Keep in mind they trailed the Stars by a count of 3-1 with about 10 minutes to go in that game before their miracle rally. The Vegas goaltending is suspect with Fleury struggling and Lehner now playing with his 4th club in 3 seasons! Lehner will get the start here and seems to have supplanted Fleury. The Avs have allowed just 1 goal so far in 2 games while the Golden Knights have allowed 7. Also, as shown in the regular season, the Avalanche have shown they pose some match-up problems for Vegas!

Spread Knowledge: NHL Excellent Machine Grade *B* Value Pick - 2

Colorado Avalanche are 28-17-0 Point spread larger than current point spread -1.50000 since 2019 April 28 with a profit of +18 units
Colorado Avalanche are 32-17-0 Over/Under Line Larger than current total 5.50000 since 2019 October 18 with a profit of +13 units
Colorado Avalanche are 19-7-0 Overall since 2020 January 16 with a profit of +8 units


Cappers Against:

Tim Michael: ***+$11K NHL YTD!*** 10* MONEY-MAKER (HUGE 8-1 PLAYOFF RUN!)



Best of luck!

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