Pick Details

(17) Columbus vs. Tampa Bay (18) 3:00 PM | Thu, Aug 13 2020
Sport: NHL | Star Rating: 8.0 Evaluation: Loss (-1400)
TB (-175) @ williamhill

3 of 3 Experts (100%) with a pick on the moneyline are aligned. 8* play on the Tampa Bay Lightning (Straight-up).


Cappers Analysis:



In an historic Game 1 on Tuesday, the Lightning out-lasted the Blue Jackets when Brayden Point scored at 10:27 of the fifth OT period. That Game 1 result certainly satisfied us, as we had a big play on Tampa in Game 1 (and also have it as our Preseason Futures wager this season at 7-1 odds). Several NHL records were set in that one, including most shots on goal (151) and most saves by a goalie in a game (85 by the Jackets' Korpisalo). And although the fourth-longest game in NHL history doesn't necessarily spell doom for the Jackets, it certainly lets some air out of their balloon heading into this afternoon's Game 1. It's a great boost for Tampa today knowing that the only thing that kept Columbus in the game that long was the play of its goalie as the Bolts out-shot the Jackets by a whopping 25 when all was said and done. While Korpisalo's superhuman efforts will be remembered, it's also important to point out that Tampa's Vezina Trophy finalist Andrei Vasilevskiy bought time for Point and Co. with 61 saves of his own. Tampa is 23-12 in its last 35 after winning its previous game in overtime.

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As a general rule we shy away from this price range (-165/-170) in money line sports but in the post-season the edges are sometimes so strong that the value is there even in a price range like this. Columbus is at a severe disadvantage here after Game 1 of this series went 5 overtimes on Tuesday! The Blue Jackets are the only team in this post-season that had to win a Game 5 in the qualifying round just to get here. Columbus was very resilient in knocking off a talented Maple Leafs team Sunday to make up for their inexcusable collapse in Game 4 of that series on Friday. However, as a result of playing so many games and now Game 1 of this series going 5 overtimes, the Blue Jackets have averaged nearly a game of hockey per day over the past 8 days! That makes recovery tough and the Lightning situation is much better as they only had to play in the round robin last week and so just had 3 games and they were much less intense than what Columbus had. When you factor all that in as well as the fact that the Blue Jackets lost Game 1 of this series in the multi-overtime thriller, Columbus could be spent both physically and mentally heading into this one. Look for the Lightning, still stinging from last year's playoff sweep ouster at the hands of the Blue Jackets, to take full advantage and win Game 2 in convincing fashion.


As you probably know, the opening game was a marathon. The Lightning won in the fifth Overtime. Those are the type of losses that can really be tough to bounce back from. Keep in mind that the Jackets were already off an emotional and physical hard-fought series against the Leafs. They'd barely had a chance to recover and then left it all on the ice in Game 1. To do that and ultimately come up short is going to take a toll on them today. Expect the Lightning, who still haven't forgotten last year, to take advantage of the situation and for them to take a commanding lead in the series.



Best of luck!

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