Pick Details

(913) Atlanta vs. Miami (914) 7:10 PM | Fri, Aug 14 2020
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 8.0 Evaluation: Loss (-840)
ATL (-105) @ Betamerica

3 of 3 Experts (100%) with a pick on the moneyline are aligned. 8* play on the Atlanta Braves (Straight-up).


Cappers Analysis:


Forum Legends: NL East Showdown

Kyle Wright is looking for his first win. He is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA, a 2.083 WHIP, 10 walks and 11 strikeouts over 12 innings of work this season. He surrendered a pair of homers during his last start, but held the Phillies scoreless in his other five frames.
This marked just the second time in seven career starts that he has completed at least five innings. He looks to take another step forward tonight vs. the Marlins. Atlanta was swept in a two-game interleague set with the Yankees on the road, and have lost 3 straight. Atlanta are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Miami.

Pablo López seeks his first career win vs. Atlanta, a team he is 0-3 with a 3.54 ERA against in five starts. He is 4-6 with a 3.51 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, 29 walks and 81 strikeouts over 100 innings in 17 career starts at Marlins Park.
Miami are 5-11 SU in their last 16 games at home & 2-9 vs. the braves SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against Atlanta.

I don't see the braves losing four in a row, and like them in this spot tonight.

Larry Ness: Larry's MLB 10* PERFECT STORM (5-0 sides MLB 2020)

The Atlanta Braves entered the 2020 MLB season having won the NL East in each of the previous two seasons (90 wins in 2018 and 97 in 2019). Meanwhile, the Miami Marlins opened the new season having not been to the postseason since they won the 2003 World Series, a stretch of 16 seasons (Miami was 57-108 in 2019!). The Braves opened 7-3 and then went 4-3 over theri next seven games. However, Atlanta visits Miami off THREE straight losses, having allowed 28 runs! Miami took two of three at Philadelphia to open the current season but then COVID-19 struck the organization. The Marlins would miss EIGHT games (did not play from July 27-Aug 4) but when they returned to the field of play, won SIX straight games. A three-game skid followed but Miami snapped that losing streak with a 14-11 win in 10 innings Wednesday at Toronto (actually, Buffalo).

With Miami at 8-4 and Atlanta at 11-9, this weekend's three-games series sets up as a battle for first place in the NL East (go figure!). The Braves will start Kyle Wright (0-2, 6.75 ERA) in Friday's game, while Miami will counter with Pablo Lopez (1-1, 1.80 ERA). Wright was the fifth overall draft pick in 2017 but has failed to live up to his potential, so far. The former Vanderbilt star is 0-5 with a 7.41 ERA in 14 career appearances, including seven starts. Lopez has surprised so far in his two starts (see above), after going 2-4 with a 4.14 ERA in 10 starts in 2018 and then 5-8 with 5.09 ERA in 21 starts in 2019 (Marlins were 7-14).

The Braves are the NL East's best team but this season lasts just 60 games (not 162). They've already lost their best pitcher in 2019 All-Star Mike Soroka (13-4, 2.68 ERA), as he is out for the season due to a torn Achilles tendon. Superstar left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. will miss the Marlins series due to a sore left wrist plus second baseman Ozzie Albies (sore right wrist) remains sidelined. Acuna and Albies combined for 229 runs, 65 doubles, 65 HRs and 187 RBI in 2019. Still, the Braves remain a deep team, featuring 1B Freddie Freeman, outfielders Marcell Ozuna and Nick Markakis plus shortstop Dansby Swanson.

I'm not ready to call Wright a bust plus this Atlanta team is a much better group than Miami, even without some of its key players (see above). Lopez is familiar with Atlanta, having already faced them five times in his short career. However, while his ERA is a respectable 3.54 vs the Braves, he's 0-3 and Miami has lost all FIVE of his starts. Same old, same old in this one.


I like the Atlanta Braves here in the opener of a three-game series with the Miami Marlins.

The Braves are coming off three straight losses and they've had a day off to prepare and focus while Miami snapped a three-game skid of its own with a 14-11 extra-inning win over Toronto on Thursday. Their bullpen was heavily used which will put extra pressure on tonight's starter Pablo Lopez (1-1, 1.80 ERA) who while solid, has pitched only five innings in both his starts this season.

As for Atlanta starter Kyle Wright (0-2, 6.75 ERA), I'm not deterred by his weak numbers. Also, he's backed up by one of the best bullpens in baseball (5th, 3.22 ERA) and the Braves rank 5th in the major leagues for runs scored at 5.51 runs per game.



Best of luck!

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