Pick Details

JH
at
FT
Francisco Trinaldo vs. Jai Herbert 9:05 PM | Sat, Jul 25 2020
Sport: UFC | Star Rating: 8.0 Evaluation: Win (800)
Pick
FT (-108) @ pinnacle

3 of 3 Experts (100%) with a pick on the moneyline are aligned. 8* play on Francisco Trinaldo (Straight-up).

 

Cappers Analysis:

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We’re going with Trinaldo in this fight as it comes down to a massive edge in experience inside the Octagon compared to his opponent. Herbert is making his UFC debut Saturday night. Trinaldo has 22 fights for UFC. He’s coming off a win in March against Makdessi, which was the second straight victory for the Brazillian. Both were by decision by Trinaldo can certainly finish. He’s won 13 of his fights by either KO/TKO or submission. Meanwhile, he’s never been knocked out in his career and only three times has he ever submitted. Herbert last fought in October so there could be some “rust,” hardly an ideal scenario to be making your UFC debut. The likely result here is Trinaldo by decision but he very well could end the fight early. Either way, look for him to get his hand raised on “Fight Island” this Saturday.

Lee Sterling: 6 Pack Bundle

Francisco Trinaldo is a different class than Jai Herbert. Herbert isn't up for this level of challenge. Herbert doesn't do one thing well enough to end this fight or win it.

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This is a lightweight fight (155 lbs) scheduled for three rounds. Trinaldo comes in with a 25-7 record while Herbert is 10-1. The key to this fight, at least in my opinion, boils down to Trinaldo’s experience at the UFC level.

Trinaldo has been fighting for the promotion since 2012. He’s won B2B fights, including one back in March, a unanimous decision over John Makdessi. Herbert is making his UFC debut here and that’s obviously a big jump from previous competition. He in fact just quit his day job so that he could become a UFC fighter full-time. HIs last fight was back in October 2019.

Though he was actually outstruck in his previous fight, Trinaldo has excellent striking numbers throughout his career. He dishes out far more than he absorbs. While Herbert’s last several victories have all come by knockout, that was against lesser competition. Trinaldo will obviously need to guard against the knockout here, but I just don’t believe Herbert has what it takes to grind out a three round victory at this level.

 

Best of luck!

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