Pick Details

(975) Arizona vs. San Diego (976) 4:10 PM | Sun, Aug 09 2020
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 9.0 Evaluation: Win (900)
SD (-157) @ Draftkings

5 of 5 Experts (100%) with a pick on the moneyline are aligned. 9* play on the San Diego Padres (Straight-up).


Cappers Analysis:


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If you're a casual baseball fan, then you may not know the name Dinelson Lamet. But chances are you will in a couple of years (or maybe sooner). Lamet was signed as an amateur free agent out of the Dominican Republic back in 2014. And the fact that the Padres have stuck with him until now -- including Tommy John surgery and a lost 2018 season -- tells you what they think about the now-28-year-old. Their patience may finally be paying off as Lamet looks like a breakout candidate in this short season. Through his first three starts, the RHP is 1-0 with a 1.72 ERA and 1.15 WHIP including 11 hits allowed with 17 strikeouts in 15 2/3 innings. The D-Backs will go with veteran LHP Madison Bumgarner who they signed as a free agent back in December. Mad-Bum's teams are 10-18 (-7 games on the money line) in his last 28 road starts. Heading into Sunday, the home team is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings of these two.


I'm playing on SD. While the Diamondbacks managed to steal one yesterday, the Padres will have the advantage this afternoon. San Diego still wants to contend with the the Dodgers and Rockies but knows it can't afford to fall further behind. Arizona may feel the same way but the reality is that its chances of "sticking around" are even less likely. Lamet has a stellar 1.72 ERA thus far while Bumgarner has an ugly 7.05 mark. San Diego relievers have a 3.24 ERA and 0.93 WHIP at Petco while Arizona relievers have a 4.77 ERA (1.41 WHIP) on the road. While Bumgarner obviously wants his first "W" with his new team, I don't see it happening today. Padres roll.


The Padres have split the first two games at home against Arizona, and I like them in the rubber match Sunday.

Mad Bum will go for the D'backs, and he's not the guy he was when he was winning championships in San Francisco. He's lost all three of his starts, and he got tagged for eight runs in 4 1/3 innings his last time out.

The Padres hand the ball to Dinelson Lamet, who has been quite sharp.

The Padres rank 2nd in the majors in runs scored (77).


I think the San Diego Padres look like a great home favorite in this matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday afternoon. Giants lefty Madison Bumgarner (0-2, 7.04 ERA) has had a really poor start with the D'Backs while Padres' Dinelson Lamet (1-0, 1.72 ERA) has been as solid as one could ask for. Add Arizona's issues to score runs (3.53 rpg) while San Diego is near the top of the major leagues for runs scored with 5.21 runs per game and we have a complete mismatch.


The Padres were unable to rally Saturday, falling just short against the D’backs by a score of 3-2. They’d previously won the series opener, 3-0, in a game where we backed them. I’ll back ‘em again here Sunday for many of the same reasons I did Friday. Arizona is not a good team; in fact they have the 2nd worst run differential in the entire National League right now at -25. Outside of one big explosion vs. Houston earlier in the week, the D’backs haven’t scored more than five runs in a game this year.

Madison Bumgarner looks to be toast, compounding problems for the visitors. He’s got an 0-3 TSR and 7.05 ERA through three starts, one of those being a loss to San Diego. Going back to late last year, Bumgarner has an 0-7 TSR his L7 starts. Adding to the concern here is that Bumgarner’s velocity is down (on his fastball) as is his KW ratio (only 1.83).

San Diego, who is 5-0 in series openers thus far and just 3-7 in all other games, will turn to Dinelson Lamet on Sunday. Lament has already faced the D’backs once and he held them to one run in five innings, a game the Padres ended up winning 12-7. Lamet has a 1.72 ERA across three starts and we should see him pitch well again Sunday. Lamet has allowed just four runs total so far, one of them unearned.



Best of luck!

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