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4 of 5 Experts (80%) with a pick against the spread are aligned. 9* play on the Clemson Tigers (Spread).
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Clemson had a chance to move into the No. 5 spot in the ACC Tournament but lost its final two games to fall to 9-11 in the conference. Things could have been a lot better as six of those 11 losses came in the final minute of regulation or overtime. The only chance Clemson has of making the NCAA Tournament is winning four games in four days which is very unlikely but getting out of the second round is not. Miami closed the regular season with a home overtime win over Syracuse which prevented the Hurricanes from playing a first round game. Miami has had some close calls as well but of its 13 losses, nine were by double-digits. Here, we play on favorites revenging a home loss going up against an opponent off a win over a conference rival as an underdog. This situation is 97-55 ATS (63.8 percent) over the last five seasons.
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Both teams have some big signature wins this year, but for the most part each was pretty poor. The Hurricanes finished 15-15 and the Tigers ended up 15-15 as well. Clemson does play with revenge here after falling 73-68 in OT to Miami Florida in late December. Miami Florida comes into this game though without the services of leading scorer Chris Lykes, who was injured in a loss to Virginia last Wednesday. The Tigers are still ranked 39th in the entire NCAA on the defensive end as well.
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The set-up: Both teams finished 15-15. This is a revenge game for Clemson after it lost 73-68 in OT to the Hurricanes on New Years Eve. The Tigers lost two in a row to end the regular season, while Miami beat Syracuse in OT in its finale. Previous to that though the Hurricanes had lost three straight. Of note, Miami is playing without leading scorer Chris Lykes here, who was injured in a loss vs. Virginia last Wednesday. Clemson has struggled with consistency, but it does have some epic wins, including over Duke, Louisville and Florida State.)
The pick: Additionally note that Clemson is already 2-0 ATS this year in all neutral court games, while Miami Florida is just 1-3 ATS in all neutral court affairs this season. Clemson's defense is ranked 39th in the nation and it plays with revenge here.
Forum Legends: 3/11/20: Clemson vs. Miami (neutral court)
Miami wasn't terrible down the stretch of the season but their leading scorer Lykes was the top scorer in most of those games. He's done for season now. It's just such a beatable team. They beat Cuse without him in final game at home in OT but Cuse star Hughes got hurt in the first half and didnt return, a big reason Miami was able to pull it out.
Clemson is hard to trust, they've beaten Duke/FSU/Louisville but lost a bunch to the middling to lower teams. Ended the year with a thud to blow their tourney chance, though losing twice to G Tech is forgivable to me. Giving them benefit of the doubt that they can regroup here at least for one game in this tourney and lock up NIT bid, they are significantly better defensively (top 35 in D efficiency to Miami's 140th ranking). Miami may be a tick better defnsively with Lykes out because the guy is only 5'7, but they need his scoring.
These teams played eachother once early in the season, Miami won in OT on the road, but Lykes dominated with 27 points and was clearly a tough matchup for them. Prior to that win over Cuse with Hughes hurt, that win @ Clemson would rank as their 2nd best win of the season (they beat Illinois randomly on the road earlier in the season. Other than that, a real lack of wins vs above average teams).
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