College Football Free Picks
Get free college football picks for this week’s games from the top professional handicappers in the industry at Covers Experts. Our Experts will dig into the odds and release free plays against the spread (ATS), straight up, and on Over/Under totals. You can expect to find multiple plays each week of the NCAA football season, from Week 0 all the way through the College Football Playoff (CFP) National Championship Game. Check back often for new picks!
Free College Football Picks This Week
Both teams are off their fourth straight loss. For the Hilltoppers, the most recent loss was disappointing (52-46 against UTSA) but the previous three setbacks were expected. Two were on the road and the other was against Indiana. This is still a talented team capable of turning things around. That needs to start here. ODU doesn't have the talent that WKU does and its chances of turning things around are far less likely. The Monarchs' latest loss also figures to be tougher to bounce back from. They left it on all the field and nearly upset Marshall. Considering that they were 3-TD underdogs, that would have been huge. They blew their chance though and lost in OT. Again, those type of losses are often tough to bounce back from. The Monarchs are 0-10 SU and 3-7 ATS their last 10 conference games. That includes a 20-3 loss last time that WKU visited. This one should result in another big win for the visitors. Consider laying the points.
|-12 WKU (-110) @ 888Sport|
My free play is on Purdue at 3:30 ET.
This season is looking like it might be a special one for Iowa and that's saying something. Kirk Ferentz arrived in Iowa City way back in 1999 and after going 1-10 and 3-9 in his first two seasons, has been a steady, consistent winner. The Hawkeyes opened 2020 with back-to-back losses (by 4 points and one point) but then won SIX in a row, going 5-1 ATS with an average MOV of 21.8 PPG. Iowa earned an 18th bowl bid under Ferentz in 2020 but the Music City Bowl was canceled due to COVID. Iowa has opened 6-0 (3-0 in the Big Ten) and has already defeated three ranked opponents, No. 17 Indiana, No. 9 Iowa State and No. 4 Penn State. The Hawkeyes rallied past the Nittany Lions 23-20 last Saturday, as QB Spencer Petras found Nico Ragaini with a 44-yard touchdown pass with 6:26 remaining. Iowa has won 12 games in a row (10-2 ATS) and has captured NINE straight contests against Big Ten opponents. This past Sunday, the Hawkeyes rose to No. 2 in the AP poll, the school's highest ranking since being No. 1 back in 1985.
Jeff Brohm became a 'hot' coaching commodity by leading Western Ky to a 30-10 record in three seasons and then moved on to Purdue. The Boilermakers went 6-6 in each of his first two seasons, winning a bowl game the first season (7-6) and losing the following season (6-7). Purdue fell to 4-6 in 2019 and was 2-4 in "The Year of COVID" in 2020. Purdue (3-2, 1-1 in Big Ten) has scored just 13 points in each of its last three games. Two of those contests were losses, including a 20-13 home defeat to Minnesota on Oct 2 in its most recent game. The Boilermakers outgained the Golden Gophers 448-294 but were doomed by mistakes, allowing four sacks and committing two turnovers in the red zone. Purdue also lost 27-13 at Notre Dame on Sep 18.
Iowa QB Petras can be shaky but he's completing 60.7% for 1,138 yards with nine TDs and most importantly, only two INTs. RB Goodson has 518 yards on 4.2 YPC with 5 TDs for a running attack that is pretty mediocre, averaging 123.3 YPG (99th). However, it's Kirk Ferentz's defense that ranks fourth in the nation (and first in the Big Ten) in scoring defense (13.0 PPG) on 274.0 YPG (7th). The team's ability to force turnovers has become a big story, as Iowa leads the nation in turnovers forced (20), interceptions (16) and turnover margin (+15). not a bad trifecta!
Purdue comes to Iowa City and could stick with Aidan O'Connell. He started at QB in place of the inconsistent Jack Plummer and went 33 of 51 for 357 yards with a touchdown and an interception in the loss to Minnesota. However, Plummer has completed 69.5% with seven TDs and no INTs. We'll see. Either way, WR David Bell (six catches for 120 yards) topped 2,000 yards receiving for his career and certainly will be a focus of the Hawkeyes' defensive game plan. Iowa won't be too worried about a Purdue running game that is averaging 90.2 YPG (122nd). What Iowa's offense will have to worry about is a Purdue defense that is allowing 15.4 PPG (8th) on 300.8 YPG (15th)
Iowa is overdue for a "let down" spot and off the Penn St win and facing a rested Purdie team (was off last weekend), this could be the week/game! The Boilermakers hold a 49-39-2 advantage in the series, including THREE wins in the previous four games. The last time Purdue faced the nation's No. 2 team (back on Oct 20, 2018), the Boilermakers scored a resounding 49-20 victory over Ohio State in West Lafayette. OK, Purdue's NOT at home this time around but I'm taking the double digit points!
|11.5 PUR (-110) @ Williamhill|
Play - Missouri (Game 172).
Edges - Tigers: Head coach Eliah Drinkwitz is 16-5 SU versus .666 or fewer opponents … Aggies: Teams who beat a Nick Saban coached team are just 6-9 ATS as favorites the following game, including 0-5 ATS if they score 35 or more point in the win … With Texas A&M having been outgained by 125, 141, and 176 yards in each of its past three games, look for the Tigers to cash their first ticket of these here today. We recommend a 1* play on Missouri. Thank you and good luck as always.
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|11 MIZZ (-110) @ Williamhill|
#175/176 ASA CFB FREE PLAY ON Over 63 Points – TCU vs Oklahoma, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET - Both teams are coming off high scoring games as TCU just faced Texas Tech and they combined for 83-points, while Oklahoma and Texas squared off in an All-timer with 103 total points. OU had played a couple lower scoring games but have figured things out offensively in two straight games with over 1,000 combined yards and 92-points against Kansas State and Texas. The Sooners made a change at QB last week from Rattler to Caleb Williams who threw for 212yards, 2 TD’s and ran for 88 yards. Williams is a dual threat QB and hard to prepare for. Last week he entered the game with 6 minutes to go in the first half he led the Sooners to 38-points on 9 possessions. With Williams under center the OU offense averaged 8.1YPPL after averaging just 5.7YPPL on the season. TCU defense way down from past editions allowing 30+ points in 4 straight games while ranking 122nd in total defense. The Horned Frog offense will need to score as well to reach this number and we like them to have success here. They have put up at least 34 points in 4 of their last 5. This one is a shootout and we like the OVER.
|Over 63.5 (-118) @ 888Sport|
Washington St. has won two straight games to improve to 3-3 on the season and the Cougars have now won covered three straight games after losing their first three against the number. The defense has shown some improvement from last season but playing only four games last year kind of skews the numbers this year where they have allowed 24 or more points in five of six games. While this team is experienced on paper, 26 players have made their debuts with five players making their first career starts on offense and five on defense. Stanford comes in off a loss at Arizona St. last Friday and the Cardinal also come in at 3-3 on the season and this game will go a long way regarding bowl implications. The secondary is the most experienced unit on this defense and they are ranked No. 25 against the pass which is a big thing here going up against a Washington St. offense that is ranked No. 44 in passing offense which is good but certainly not close to where it used to be. Stanford has won 19 of its last 27 conference games when coming off a loss including 14 of its last 18 games. Cardinal are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game while the Cougars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Play (207) Stanford Cardinal
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|-1 STAN (-105) @ Bet365|
I think Fresno St is going to struggle on defense to stop the Wyo rushing attack. On the otherside Fresno is coming off a bad loss to Hawaii and a bye week to stew on it. Prior to that, they got lucky to beat UCLA and struggled vs UNLV. They have lost their only 2 road games thus far, and I think theres a good chance they lose this game as well. This will be Wyomings best opponent to date, but the home crowd and altitude will be their 12th man.
|3.5 WYO (-110) @ Williamhill|
This is a FREE play (1*) on RUTGERS
The Scarlet Knights have run into two of the Big 10 heavyweights in recent weeks. So we're not really alarmed over the three straight losses, even if they were outscored 103-39. Having to play Michigan, Ohio State and Michigan State is about as rough a three-week gauntlet as a team can face outside the SEC. This week, Rutgers hits the road to face Northwestern, one of the Big 10's weaker teams. The Wildcats also have yet to record a conference victory in 2021. They've come out on the wrong end against Michigan State and Nebraska, losing those games by 17 and 49. Rutgers will probably need to score more than 17 points, something they've only done against only one FBS opponent so far. We think they will as N'western allowed 427 yards rushing the last time we saw them. This is just the fifth time Rutgers has been favored to a win a Big 10 game since joining the conference in 2014. They won't miss the opportunity for a win. Play on RUTGERS
|-2 RUTG (-110) @ caesars|
Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Miami-Ohio minus the points over Akron at 2:30 pm et on Saturday.
Akron is coming off an upset win over Bowling Green on the road last week as it put up 35 points thanks in large part to a whopping five Eagles turnovers. I don't expect the Zips to be so fortunate against a rather conservative Miami-Ohio offense that is led by two experienced quarterbacks in A.J. Mayer and Brett Gabbert (who may not play due to injury). This is a big spot back home for the Redhawks as they come off a disappointing one-point loss on the road against Eastern Michigan last week. Don't be fooled by their ugly 1-4 overall record as they opened the season with a tough three-game road slate against Cincinnati, Minnesota and Army. In their lone previous game here at Yager Stadium they delivered a convincing 28-17 win over Central Michigan as 2.5-point underdogs. This matchup was no contest last year as Miami-Ohio rolled to a 38-7 victory away from home. Note that Akron has gone a miserable 3-13 ATS from October on over the last two-plus seasons while Miami-Ohio checks in a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six home games after the month of September over the same stretch. Take Miami-Ohio.
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|-20 M-OH (-110) @ 888Sport|
This is a free play on Oklahoma.
The Sooners are coming off a thrilling comeback win over Texas in the Red River Rivalry game, and backup QB Caleb Williams came to the rescue after a struggling Spencer Rattler was benched. We expect Williams (who Sooner fans are calling Superman) to get the start at home versus TCU. The Horned Frogs don't look as competitive as they have been in past years, especially with their struggling defense. They have allowed 30+ points in four straight games against Cal, SMU, Texas and Texas Tech. TCU QB Max Duggan is listed as questionable for this game, and given his numbers in his last start at Oklahoma he might want to sit out. He threw for just 65 yards with an INT on 7-of-21 passing in a loss at Oklahoma in 2019. The Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus TCU.
|-13.5 OKLA (-110) @ Bet365|
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What are College Football Free Picks?
College football Free Picks are 1-star plays that are given out by Covers Experts at no cost to our users. They differ from Premium Picks which generally range from 5 stars to 10 stars. Each Free Pick comes with a written analysis so that you can learn how each handicapper breaks down NCAA football games.