Chris Elliott

ELLIOTT "ROBBED" IN UFC SATURDAY, OUT FOR REVENGE!

13 of 16 media members scored Barboza the winner in the UFC last Saturday night, but somehow Chris came out on the wrong end of the stick.

Elliott doesn't get mad though, he gets even. Check back shortly for more picks.

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  • ELLIOTT`S NFL BEST BETS!

    With week 1 of the NFL season right around the corner, its time to offer up the 2012 edition of ELLIOTT`S NFL BEST BETS! Who better than an Accountant to do the math! The numbers are crunched, the analysis prepared, its now time to throw out the BEST BETS based on Elliott`s VALUE DRIVEN formula!

  • AFC WEST OFF SEASON GRADES

    With the NFL right around the corner, Elliott has put together his AFC West off season grades. 3 of the 4 teams have made positive strides in the offseason whereas one team has taken a step back in its quest to make the playoffs!

  • AFC EAST OFF SEASON GRADES

    With the NFL right around the corner, Elliott has put together his AFC East off season grades. 3 of the 4 teams have made positive strides in the offseason whereas one team has taken a step back in its quest to make the playoffs!

About Chris

Age: 43

History: As a child I grew up wanting to be a major league baseball player. My three heroes were Dale Murphy, Wayne Gretzky and Hulk Hogan. I spent every available moment playing or watching sports. I was an advanced student at an early age, I skipped grade three and excelled particularly at mathematics. By the time I finished high school I knew I wasn't good enough to make it at my best sport so I decided to further my education. I applied at my local University at 17 and was accepted to early admissions and eventually obtained my Business degree. I was recognized for finishing first in my class out of 100+ students on a final exam and specialized as an accountant. Upon graduation I began to work in an accounting firm and have spent the last 18 years learning all aspects of bookkeeping, accounting and taxation. I knew I had missed my calling, however I was close to my family while carving out a good career and that made me happy. Eventually I would learn that the education and experience I had obtained would help me develop a winning strategy in becoming a professional handicapper.

Years in Handicapping: For as long as I can remember I have been playing and making money in fantasy pools and online betting as a hobby. My greatest strength has always been numbers, combine that with my sports affinity and I was ahead of the competition. In the summer of 2012, my betting success landed me my first opportunity as a Covers Expert and I launched a 5-0 opening night start in MLB and never looked back. The highlight of my 1 year tenure was hitting 14 straight football picks in November and raking serious profits for my loyal customers along the way. After one year, I decided to step away from handicapping to pursue some very lucrative opportunities in the field of Daily Fantasy Sports. With the new relaxed laws governing sports betting, I am excited to get back into the world of professional sports handicapping.

System Used in Handicapping: It has been my experience that the sporting community can be reactive in nature. The typical “band wagon jumping” on who's hot can be effective in the short term but overall it is a strategy that results in lost value. For me, the ultimate strategy is to combine short term and long term procedures to develop a system that covers all facets of the decision making process.

A major aspect of my education and work experience has centered around business valuation. The topic encompasses economics, statistics and accounting, all of which I have studied and excelled at. In a nut shell, business valuation consists of breaking down companies into separate components, using techniques to analyze the components under certain conditions, comparing to benchmarks and assigning a value based on the results. The techniques I have learned have allowed me to develop a two tier strategy to keep me ahead of the betting field.

The first is the macro approach (overall, big picture, long term), in the off season of each major sport I will value each organization based on a number of criteria I have developed. The value of the company is then translated into a win/loss percentage for the season. A quick summary of the criteria I include are:

1. Past records (at least 3-5 year trend)
2. Ownership, management and coaching changes/philosophies/financial capabilities
3. Off season changes
4. Player development (farm system/draft results)
5. Locker room dynamic (players in contract years)
6. Upcoming schedule difficulty

As the season begins I develop the micro approach. This approach involves keeping up to date with the daily grind, watching all the games, following the hot and cold streaks, scheduling, injury updates, match up ratings etc. Basically everything that goes into analyzing a sound pick based on current surroundings.

This system I developed has been used by business analysts to value companies on the stock markets of the world for many generations. Prepare and develop a thorough valuation of a company and compare the cyclical nature of the stock market with the valuation of the company and buy low and sell high. Develop a thorough valuation of the sports organization at the start of the season and compare the cyclical nature of the team and the player (hot and cold streaks) to buy low and sell high.

Rating System: My ratings system is basic and easy to understand. The scale I use is 6-10 with 10 being the highest. I will never offer a rating lower than a 6, I don't bet when I don't consider the odds in my favor and I wouldn't expect you to. Most bids will be in the 7-9 range, if and when you see a 10 rating from me, I truly consider this a lock. Most of my bets are centered around value much as I described above. I may consider one match up more favorable than another but worth less value due to the spread or the odds. My main objective is to make us both the most money possible and my ratings system will reflect that.

Favorite Sport to Wager: Baseball has always been my sport of choice. Pitching is such a key, I love to break down match ups and bullpens and I do particularly well with Over/Under betting for baseball. Football is a close second, I find my macro/micro system of assigning values to football organizations works very well for the NFL 16 game season.

Quote: Building and maintaining an effective system for handicapping sports takes hard work and dedication. Unless you pay me to do it for you! 

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