1) Kansas City Chiefs -8
How good is reigning Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes? How about this stat: The Chiefs have won straight up the last six times in games where they were trailing by at least ten points!
2) Pittsburgh Steelers -5
The Steelers still can’t run the football! After three straight games with less than 50 yards on the ground, Pittsburgh averaged only 3.9 yards per carry vs a bottom tier Jags defense.
3) LA Rams -4.5
After their win in Tampa Bay on Monday Night, the Rams defense now ranks #1 in the NFL, allowing only 4.7 yards per play against them.
4) New Orleans Saints -4
After a slow start, Taysom Hill found his rhythm on Sunday in the win against the Falcons. But it was the Saints defense that dominated, sacking Matt Ryan eight times!
5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5
The Bucs are one of two teams (along with Carolina) that hasn’t had a bye week yet. They’ll have their bye in after Thanksgiving in Week 13, the latest bye week since 2016.
6) Seattle Seahawks -3.5
DL Carlos Dunlap has been a difference maker for Pete Carroll since his midseason trade. In three games, Dunlap has 3.5 sacks, seven additional QB hits and five tackles for loss.
7) Green Bay Packers -3.5
The Packers have lost only three games in the Aaron Rodgers era after leading by 14 points or more. Two of those three losses have come at Indianapolis, including the OT loss on Sunday.
8) Buffalo Bills -3
If the Bills are going to be considered legit Super Bowl contenders, they’re going to have to shore up their run defense; ranked #29 in the NFL in yards per carry allowed.
9) Indianapolis Colts -3
The Colts forced four turnovers against the Packers on Sunday, including the key one in overtime. But Indy’s nine offensive holding calls were the most by any team since 2003.
10) Arizona Cardinals -2
When Kyler Murray doesn’t run, the Cardinals don’t win. Arizona is 1-8-1 SU in games where Murray doesn’t reach 30 rushing yards, including their loss at Seattle last Thursday.
11) Tennessee Titans -1.5
Yes, the Titans came from behind to beat the Ravens. But Tennessee’s defense came into the game ranked #31 in the NFL on third downs, and allowed 9-14 3rd down conversions on Sunday.
12) Cleveland Browns -1.5
The Browns defense has been a ‘bet-on’ unit in recent weeks. Cleveland just became the first team since 1997 to produce a pick six and a safety in the same game twice in a season.
13) Las Vegas Raiders -1.5
The Raiders were forced to put ten defensive players on the COVID list last week, leaving Paul Guenther’s defense extremely short-handed in practice all week before facing KC.
14) Baltimore Ravens -1
The Ravens are dealing with cluster injuries in the trenches. OL Ronnie Stanley and Tyre Phillips are on injured reserve. DL Brandon Williams and Calais Campbell both missed Sunday’s game.
15) Miami Dolphins -1
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick’s quote after Tua got benched for him in Denver on Sunday: “It’s very clear that this is Tua’s team…..There’s no controversy. This is HIS team.”
16) Minnesota Vikings 0
The Vikings defense fell apart in their home loss to Dallas. They pressured Andy Dalton only four times on 34 pass attempts and sacked him only once.
17) LA Chargers +1
The Chargers special teams woes cost their backers a pointspread cover for the second straight week. Both the Dolphins and Jets were able to block punts for touchdowns against them!
18) Carolina Panthers +1.5
Safety Tre Boston called the shutout victory over Detroit a ‘brand win’ for Carolina. What’s the brand? “We’re the toughest, hardest working team in the league.”
19) Houston Texans +1.5
Despite the win on Sunday, Texans lost WR’s Randall Cobb and Kenny Stills to injury against New England, and they only got a season low 19 yards from their running backs combined!
20) Atlanta Falcons +1.5
In Atlanta’s first nine games, Matt Ryan took two sacks or less in eight of them. Against the Saints on Sunday, Ryan took eight sacks and the Falcons never reached the end zone.
21) New England Patriots +2
The Patriots now have six losses (and counting). The last time New England had six losses in a season came back in 2009 and the last time they didn’t make the playoffs was 2008.
22) Philadelphia Eagles +2.5
The only QB in NFL history to take 40 sacks, lose ten fumbles and throw ten INT’s in the first ten games of the season was David Carr in 2002…until Carson Wentz equaled him last Sunday.
23) Chicago Bears +2.5
Head Coach Matt Nagy, talking about the potential for another quarterback change following their bye week: “When you lose four games in a row (everything) is on the table.”
24) New York Giants +2.5
The Giants drafted three rookie offensive linemen with their first five picks, then watched head coach Joe Judge and line coach Marc Columbo have a blowout, resulting in Columbo’s dismissal.
25) San Francisco 49ers +2.5
Head coach Kyle Shanahan is expecting a whole host of healthy bodies back at practice following the bye, including CB Richard Sherman, RB Raheem Mostert and WR Deebo Samuel.
26) Dallas Cowboys +3
The Cowboys shifted guard Zack Martin to tackle on Sunday. Zeke Elliott, after his first 100 yard rushing game this season: “He could probably play any position on the OL and be dominant.”
27) Denver Broncos +3.5
The ‘offensive yards per point’ stat tells us how easily teams are turning drives into touchdowns. After a 459 yard effort that produced only 20 points last week, Denver is now ranked #30.
28) Detroit Lions +4
Without injured playmakers Kenny Golladay, Danny Amendola and DeAndre Swift in the lineup against Carolina, the Lions averaged only 3.4 yards per play and got shut out.
29) Washington Football Team +4.5
QB Alex Smith is getting complements from his receivers following his first win in two years. WR Steven Sims: “It’s a different feeling when he’s back there. Players feed off his calm demeanor.”
30) Cincinnati Bengals +6.5
There’s a pretty big dropoff between #1 overall draft choice Joe Burrow at QB and his backup, Ryan Finley. Finley lost more yards to sacks on Sunday then he gained with pass completions.
31) Jacksonville Jaguars +7
More bad news for Jacksonville, as they suffered cluster injuries on defense this past Sunday, with the likes of Josh Allen, DJ Hayden, Daniel Thomas and CJ Henderson all hurt.
32) New York Jets +8
The Jets have suffered cluster injuries in their secondary, leaving them with very limited options. Adam Gase ended up starting a pair of rookie cornerbacks on Sunday and it wasn’t pretty.