WGC-Cadillac Match Play Preview
New date, new sponsor, new venue and new format. The WGC Match Play Championship has moved from February to May, has a new sponsor with Cadillac taking over for Accenture and is now being played in San Francisco but the big news is a new format. Gone is the typical 64-man single-elimination bracket and in comes a round robin format where players are put into 16 four-man pods with the winner from each pod advancing into a single-elimination bracket for the weekend.
World No. 1 Rory McIlroy heads the revamped brackets as all but three of the top 64 players in the Official World Golf Ranking are taking part. The new format this year assigned the top seed for each of the 16 four-man pods based on the top 16 players in the OWGR. The remaining three players in each pod were determined by a blind draw from each of three pools depending on their standing in the OWGR (17-32, 33-48 and 49-64).
In the 16 years of this event, a number one seed has won it only three times and that of course was Tigers Woods, the only player to win this event three times. There are plenty of upsets throughout but for the most part, a low seed usually takes home the prize. In five of the last seven years, a number three seed or better has won the event and in the 16 years, 13 winners have come from a number six seed or better including eight of the last 11 years where a number four seed or better won.
The match play moved from The Golf Club at Dove Mountain in Marana, Arizona to TPC Harding Park in San Francisco California. Harding Park is a par 71 that can stretch 7,127 yards and hosted the 2005 WGC-Cadillac Championship and The Presidents Cup 2009. This came after a 15-month renovation and while the majority of the field has never played here, it means little. Because it is match play, players are taking on each other and not the golf course.
The top four seeds this week are McIlroy, Jordan Spieth, Henrik Stenson and Bubba Watson. But they are not the four favorites. Spieth is the favorite at +825 with McIlroy not far behind at +950. Defending champion Jason Day is next at +1,400 with Stenson, Justin Rose and Dustin Johnson all coming in at +2,000. Watson is +2,200 which is surprising he is this low as he has done well in this event in the past with a 9-5 record from 2011-2014. He is in a brutally tough group though.
Because of the new format, we have to look at the four-man pods and who has the best chances to advance because picking a winner from the top 16 is a lot easier than trying to pick one from the 64 overall players. Looking at overall rankings and match play experience within the four-man groups is vital. The wild card however is once the top 16 is determined, there is no determination of which side of the bracket players will fall so having them spread out is optimal but we won't know that until after Friday.
*Matt cashed his 7th outright winner of the season last week, and has two more packs ready to go*
NBA Western Conf. Betting Road Map
The NBA Playoffs are in full swing and the battle to represent the West in the NBA Finals is on. Covers Expert Steve Merril breaks down four important betting notes to be aware of when capping Western Conference matchups this week.
San Antonio and Los Angeles are tied at 2 games apiece heading into Game 5 Tuesday night. The Spurs and Clippers are evenly matched, so a tied series at this point was certainly expected. San Antonio is 23-10 SU since the All-Star break while Los Angeles is 23-9 SU during the same span. The zig-zag theory has held up for the most part in this series with the losing team going 2-1 SU/ATS in the following game so far.
Dallas and Houston have played three of their four games Over the total. That comes as no surprise since the Mavericks and Rockets have played little defense this season. Houston holds a 3-1 series lead heading into Game 5 Tuesday night. Dallas’ only hope to win is to repeat their performance in Game 4 when they scored 121 points. There is no value on the Over now at 222, especially since the Game 1 total closed at just 213, but it is still difficult to recommend the Under between these two high-scoring opponents.
Memphis was without their starting point guard Mike Conley in Game 4 of their playoff series against Portland. He needed facial surgery from an injury suffered in Game 3. As of now, there is no timetable for Conley’s return. The Grizzlies haven’t played well when missing a starter this season, so keep an eye on Conley’s status going forward.
Los Angeles’ offense has had a lot of success against the Spurs this season. The Clippers ranked No. 1 in offensive efficiency against San Antonio’s defense this season, and we’ve seen Los Angeles score 107 points or more in three of the four games in this series. Their overall success is predicated on their offensive success, and that was clear when San Antonio beat Los Angeles by 27 points (100-73) in Game 3 which was the Clippers only poor performance so far in this series.
*Steve is 8-4 (+$3,610) so far in the 2015 NBA Playoffs. Stay tuned for his Tuesday card*
Four Monday Elimination Games!
It is a great time of year to be a sports bettor, with wild playoff action night in, night out. Four teams look to punch their ticket to round 2 tonight and our Experts have you covered for every game on the board!
7:00 PM ET: Atlanta vs. Brooklyn (Nets +4.5, O/U 196.5)
8:00 PM ET: Milwaukee vs. Chicago (Bulls -8.5, O/U 187.5)
10:30 PM ET: Memphis vs. Portland (Blazers -3, O/U 191.5)
7:00 PM ET: Tampa Bay vs. Detroit (Red Wings -102, O/U 5)
7:30 PM ET: N.Y Islanders vs. Washington (Capitals -135, O/U 5)
Looking for only the strongest plays? Check out which games our Experts have aligned on for tonight.
P.S. Playoff Packages are still on sale - Get all picks from your favorite Expert right through the finals!
Covers is your home for the best in playoff betting advice.
Fargo's PGA Dominance Continues!
It was just another day at the office for Covers Expert Matt Fargo, as he cashed his 7th golf winner of the season with Justin Rose claiming the Zurich Classic. Over the course of this run, he has netted his clients a whopping 71 units in just 15 events. To prove how sharp this guy is, Fargo also had the 2nd place finisher (Cameron Tringale +6,600) in his 5-pack for this week. Here is what he had to say about Justin Rose going into Thursday:
"Playing chalk isn't much fun sometimes but Justin Rose (+945) cannot be overlooked. After a slow start to the season which was partly to blame on a bad thumb after a fall, he played decent in Houston then finished in a tie for second at the Masters. He has performed very well here as he is one of those eight players to make it to the weekend the last three years, all finishing in the top 15 including a T8 last year."
Picking winners in a 156-man field at an almost 50% clip (7/15) is unheard of. Fargo has made it look easy with the following trips to the winner's circle:
Humana Challenge: Bill Haas (+2,800)
Farmers Insurance Open: Jason Day (+1,150)
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am: Brandt Snedeker (+2,100)
WGC-Cadillac Championship: Dustin Johnson (+2,000)
Valero Texas Open: Jimmy Walker (+2,300)
Shell Houston Open: J.B. Holmes (+2,600)
Zurich Classic of New Orleans: Justin Rose (+945)
The tour now heads to San Francisco for the WGC-Cadillac Match Play, where Matt has an incredible track record (+55.76 units last 3 years). Stay tuned for this week's 5-pack of tournament and head-to-head winners!
Make Covers your home for the best in golf betting advice.
Sunday Playoffs - Cover With Ease!
Sunday's action features 5 elimination games, and our Experts have spotted major value in both the NBA and NHL. Jump on board with our hottest cappers and crush the books!
Top NBA Playoff Cappers
Top NHL Playoff Cappers
Take it to the books!
- NY Mets
- Doc's Sports
- April 28, 2015 - 7:10 PM
- Offered at:
- sportsinteraction @ 105 NY Mets
Monster Run in All Sports leads to a Super Tuesday Card!
Tuesday Free Play from Doc's Sports Take #903 New York Mets over Miami Marlins (Tuesday, 7:10pm EST) The Mets aren't going to continue winning 75% of their games, but this is a good team. The lineup has some holes (especially with the current injury situation), but New York has a terrific defense, a solid bullpen and they do a lot of the little things that winning teams do. Rafael Montero makes his first start of the season after working in the pen. He has electric stuff and can make hitters look foolish in the box. The big question with him is his control and whether he can keep it together for five or six innings. Against some teams it would be tough, but Miami is a free swinging team that leads the National League in strikeouts. That bodes well for Montero and I think he'll put up a good performance. The Marlins go with David Phelps and he hasn't been very good overall despite a 3.55 ERA. The Mets are the better team and we'll take the underdog price.
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Apr 28, 2015
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