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Super Sunday All-Access Pass!

CE Manager Feb 4, 2016
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Are you ready for the big game? We know the wait is killing you, it's killing us too. Super Bowl 50 is scheduled for Sunday, February 7th and it can't come soon enough.

Sure, you may know who you’re betting on to win or what the first half point spread will be but there’s no denying that prop bets are what make the game fun! Here is a few ways to take advatage of all we offer for the big game.

- Download your free Covers Super Bowl 50 prop bet sheet here.

- Follow us on Twitter throughout the game as we update the prop bet winners.

- We've got a Super Sunday Sale you can’t miss: get all picks from your favorite Covers Expert on Sunday’s games, including the Super Bowl, for only $99.

P.S. Purchase the Covers Experts Super Sunday package and you automatically get a prop bet sheet from our Experts in time for the Super Bowl. That’s $200 worth of prop betting advice for free!

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Handicapper Records

To help pass the time, let's check in on which cappers performed the best this season, and the top Super Bowl records from past years.


2015/2016 Regular Season

Teddy Covers: 42-21-1, +$16,289

Matt Fargo: 71-50-3, +$15,770

Al McMordie: 74-52-1, +$15,676

Power Sports: 83-58-3, +$14,974

Marc Lawrence: 45-25-2, +$11,476

Ben Burns: 78-62, +$10,863


Curious who has the best track record forecasting 'The Big Game'? Here are the top records over the past 3 Super Bowls:

Matt Fargo7-1 (88%)

Steve Merril: 4-2 (67%)

Larry Ness: 2-1 (67%)

Teddy Covers2-1 (67%)

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Game Preview and Picks

SUPER BOWL 50: Carolina Panthers vs. Denver Broncos

When: Sunday, February 7th, 2016 @ 6:30 PM ET

Where: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California

TV: CBS

Line: Carolina -5.5, O/U: 44

ABOUT THE PANTHERS (17-1): Carolina won its first 14 games behind Newton, who threw 35 touchdown passes and rushed for 10 more scores to spark an offense that rolled up an average of 31.3 points per game and amassed 80 in dispatching Seattle and Arizona in the postseason. Running back Jonathan Stewart returned from a three-game absence to rush for a combined 189 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the two playoff victories while tight end Greg Olsen had six receptions in each of those games after posting team highs of 77 catches and 1,104 yards during the regular season. Despite the high-powered offense, the Panthers ranked sixth in the league with an average of 19.3 points allowed and fourth against the run (88.4 yards per game). Carolina also was fifth in the league with 44 sacks and has a pair of marquee defenders in linebacker Luke Kuechly and cornerback Josh Norman.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (14-4): Manning has shattered all kinds of offensive marks during his record-setting career, but he has been more of a game manager since reclaiming his starting job, throwing for only 398 yards and two TDs in Denver's two playoff wins. Manning has elite wideouts in  Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders, who each went over 1,000 yards this season, but both of his scoring passes in the postseason were to tight end Owen Daniels. Running back C.J. Anderson had a nondescript regular season, but he rushed for 92 yards in Week 17 and added 72 in each of the two playoff wins. Still, the Broncos' chances hinge mainly on a defense that permitted a league-low 283.1 yards while topping the NFL with 52 sacks. Linebacker Von Miller, selected one spot behind No. 1 overall pick Newton in the 2011 draft, recorded 11 sacks during the regular season and added 2.5 more in a playoff win over New England.


Expert Picks:

Side

Ben Burns' Super Bowl Main Event

10* Super Bowl 50 Power Hour

AAA Sports' NFL Game of the Month

Matt Fargo's Super Bowl Side Winner

Marc Lawrence's 100% ATS Super Bowl System Play

Larry Ness' NFL Perfect Storm - SB 50

 

Total

Big Al's Red-Hot Super Bowl Totals Winner

Will Rogers' NFL Total of the Month

AAA Sports' Super Bowl Super Total

Ben Burns' NFL Top Playoff Total

 

Moneyline

Will Rogers' Super Bowl 50 Money-Line Massacre

 

Teasers

AAA Sports' Super Bowl 50 Super Teaser

Fargo's 10* Super Bowl Teaser


Stay tuned, as more plays will released in the coming days. Click here to access all Super Bowl 50 Expert Picks. Be sure to check in on the Experts Consensus (+$12.6K all NFL YTD) for the strongest play available next Sunday!

 

Take it to the books!

 

- Covers Team


Super Bowl 50: Get Ahead of the Books

CE Manager Feb 2, 2016
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We know the wait is killing you, it's killing us too. Super Bowl 50 is scheduled for Sunday, February 7th and it can't come soon enough.

To help pass the time, let's check in on which cappers performed the best this season, who is hot in the 2016 playoffs and the top Super Bowl records from past years.


2015/2016 Regular Season

Teddy Covers: 42-21-1, +$16,289

Matt Fargo: 71-50-3, +$15,770

Al McMordie: 74-52-1, +$15,676

Power Sports: 83-58-3, +$14,974

Marc Lawrence: 45-25-2, +$11,476

Ben Burns: 78-62, +$10,863

 

2016 Playoff Records

AAA Sports: 8-3, +$4,730

Power Sports: 9-4, +$3,550

Ben Burns: 6-3, +$2,950

SPS Investors: 4-1-1, +$2,320

Teddy Covers: 4-2, +$1,544

Marc Lawrence: 5-3, +$1,380


Curious who has the best track record forecasting 'The Big Game'? Here are the top records over the past 3 Super Bowls:

Matt Fargo7-1 (88%)

Steve Merril: 4-2 (67%)

Larry Ness: 2-1 (67%)

Teddy Covers2-1 (67%)


SUPER BOWL 50: Carolina Panthers vs. Denver Broncos

When: Sunday, February 7th, 2016 @ 6:30 PM ET

Where: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California

TV: CBS

Line: Carolina -5.5, O/U: 45

ABOUT THE PANTHERS (17-1): Carolina won its first 14 games behind Newton, who threw 35 touchdown passes and rushed for 10 more scores to spark an offense that rolled up an average of 31.3 points per game and amassed 80 in dispatching Seattle and Arizona in the postseason. Running back Jonathan Stewart returned from a three-game absence to rush for a combined 189 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the two playoff victories while tight end Greg Olsen had six receptions in each of those games after posting team highs of 77 catches and 1,104 yards during the regular season. Despite the high-powered offense, the Panthers ranked sixth in the league with an average of 19.3 points allowed and fourth against the run (88.4 yards per game). Carolina also was fifth in the league with 44 sacks and has a pair of marquee defenders in linebacker Luke Kuechly and cornerback Josh Norman.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (14-4): Manning has shattered all kinds of offensive marks during his record-setting career, but he has been more of a game manager since reclaiming his starting job, throwing for only 398 yards and two TDs in Denver's two playoff wins. Manning has elite wideouts in  Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders, who each went over 1,000 yards this season, but both of his scoring passes in the postseason were to tight end Owen Daniels. Running back C.J. Anderson had a nondescript regular season, but he rushed for 92 yards in Week 17 and added 72 in each of the two playoff wins. Still, the Broncos' chances hinge mainly on a defense that permitted a league-low 283.1 yards while topping the NFL with 52 sacks. Linebacker Von Miller, selected one spot behind No. 1 overall pick Newton in the 2011 draft, recorded 11 sacks during the regular season and added 2.5 more in a playoff win over New England.


Expert Picks:

Side

Ben Burns' Super Bowl Main Event

10* Super Bowl 50 Power Hour

AAA Sports' NFL Game of the Month

Matt Fargo's Super Bowl Side Winner

Marc Lawrence's 100% ATS Super Bowl System Play

Larry Ness' NFL Perfect Storm - SB 50

 

Total

Big Al's Red-Hot Super Bowl Totals Winner

Will Rogers' NFL Total of the Month

AAA Sports' Super Bowl Super Total

Ben Burns' NFL Top Playoff Total

 

Moneyline

Will Rogers' Super Bowl 50 Money-Line Massacre

 

Teaser

AAA Sports' Super Bowl 50 Super Teaser

Fargo's 10* Super Bowl Teaser


Stay tuned, as more plays will released in the coming days. Click here to access all Super Bowl 50 Expert Picks. Be sure to check in on the Experts Consensus (+$12.6K all NFL YTD) for the strongest play available next Sunday!

 

We'll be back soon for another update, but until then... take it to the books!

 

- Covers Team

Wiseguy Report: Super Bowl Props

CE Manager Feb 1, 2016
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By: Teddy Covers

When I talk with casual fans in the week leading up to the Super Bowl, they tend to be interested in my opinion about who is going to win the big game. But when I’m talking with bettors, not fans, the topic inevitably turns towards ‘props’; where sports betting and fantasy sports collide.

Props (short for ‘proposition wagers’) have been on the Las Vegas betting boards for thirty years. It all began when the juggernaut 1985 Chicago Bears were facing the Patriots in Super Bowl 20. Legendary Vegas oddsmaker Jimmy Vaccaro was a very creative bookmaker at the Mirage (at the time), looking for ways to increase their betting handle. Vaccaro posted odds on whether 350 pound defensive lineman William ‘Refrigerator’ Perry would score a touchdown in the big game. Vaccaro certainly didn’t think it was likely, offering attractive underdog odds for those who wanted to bet on The Fridge would hit paydirt in the end zone. 

Vaccaro’s unique offering attracted all kinds of attention both from bettors and from media types. It also accomplished his goal of increasing betting handle, with money pouring in on the ‘Yes, Fridge will score a TD’ side of the prop at big (but quickly declining) plus price odds. From a short term, bottom line standpoint, the first prop bet in Vegas history was a disaster for the books. Fridge famously did score a TD, stealing a goalline carry away from Hall of Famer Walter Payton in the process. Vaccaro: “We lost our ass on that bet. But we won in the long run.”

That was the beginning of the deluge of prop bets for the Super Bowl, the forerunner of Over/Under yardage numbers for QB’s, RB’s and WR’s that are now widely available for every Sunday, Monday and Thursday Night Football game during the regular season. But Super Bowl prop betting didn’t get to the next level until Jay Kornegay took over as the sportsbook director at the Imperial Palace.

I’m being kind when I call the late 90’s Imperial Palace a ‘dump’, an aging center Strip property right in the middle of an area that was in the process of getting completely revitalized through a massive building boom. The worst parking garage in town flooded every time it rained. The Sportsbook itself was tucked away in a back corner on the third floor, requiring a ride on one of the longest, slowest escalators in the history of escalators to pay a visit.

But there was only one thing that kept the Imperial Palace or ‘IP’ (now ‘The Linq’ following a sale and a $230 million makeover that didn’t touch the parking garage) relevant for locals and sports bettors. That thing? The sportsbook, of course! By the mid to late 90’s, Kornegay was doing a number of fairly unique things to increase handle at his book. The IP would post the following week’s NFL pointspreads at halftime of the 1 PM (Pacific Time) games, something no one else in town was doing, beating the legendary Stardust Sportsbook (with the slogan ‘Where the Line Originates’) in the process. 

When I first moved to Las Vegas in time for the 1998 football season, it was already well established that the IP was THE sportsbook for Super Bowl props; a venue that seemed intent on drawing sharp traffic away from the Stardust. My first Super Bowl in Vegas was John Elway’s last game; a Broncos win and cover over the Falcons in Super Bowl 33 that is also known as the ‘Eugene Robinson game’ after Robinson got arrested for soliciting a prostitute on the night before the game. 

I watched that game with some buddies at the IP. We all had bets on Denver; there wasn’t much of a sweat there, with the exception of when Tim Dwight ran a kickoff back for a TD in the fourth quarter just to make things a little interesting, opening up a ‘backdoor cover’ possibility. The real excitement came from the props, not the actual game being played on the field. 

At that point – in the late 90’s – Kornegay and his staff at the IP were well ahead of the rest of the world when it came to props.  Here in Vegas, the vast majority of other sportsbooks were far too risk averse to offer the bevy of options that Kornegay had posted. You’d see some books in town copy the simple stuff – this is where the ‘tradition’ of Kornegay NOT offering printed sheets until a couple of days after the props were released began. The IP was at the forefront of the Super Bowl prop betting world, with everyone else trailing behind.  Even the offshore books, which were proliferating wildly at the time, couldn’t match the depth and breadth of the IP Sportsbook’s Super Bowl proposition wagers.

When Kornegay moved over to the Hilton Superbook in 2004, which became the LVH Superbook, which became the Westgate Superbook, he brought the focus on Super Bowl props with him. Since that time, the Superbook has become the world leader for Super Bowl props. CG Technology (formerly Cantor) posts a significant array of proposition wagers to choose from as well. Just about every other sportsbook in town offers prop bets as well, although the vast majority of those betting menus aren’t nearly as deep.

The offshore world has gotten more heavily involved with their menu of prop bet offerings over the past decade as well. Those with access to the offshore numbers can take advantage of the handful of solid arbitrage opportunities as the global numbers are posted. When one book has Peyton Manning’s total passing yardage posted at 235.5 and another book has it at 246.5, savvy bettors take advantage with Under 246.5 yards bets or Over 233.5 yards bets; sometimes both (offering the possibility of a ‘middle’, cashing both sides of the wager). 

The professional bettors here in Vegas do not go nuts betting the Super Bowl side and/or total. It’s just one game at the tail end of a long season; a game where both the pointspread and the total are priced right around where they should be. Many wiseguys will not have a wager on side or total when Super Bowl 50 kicks off.

But the prop betting menu is a different story entirely. When the Westgate Superbook posted their opening numbers last Thursday night, the line stretched all the way to the back of the book. There was at least a half hour wait to get a bet down, yet bettors waited patiently for their turn to fire away at the openers with $2000 limits. Guys who take this seriously can get half a million dollars into play without a hitch, in $1000 and $2000 increments. When the best bettors in the world go ‘all in’ betting these props for Super Bowl Sunday, recreational and casual bettors should take notice!

Best of luck betting the Big Game on Sunday!

 

UPDATE: Check back soon for access to all of Covers Experts' Super Bowl Props!

January Recap: Top Covers Experts

CE Manager Jan 31, 2016
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January was an action-packed month on the sports calendar. With five sports on the go, the opportunity was there for some serious profits. Let's have a look at who took advantage and started 2016 off on the right foot.

*All profits calculated using a $100 betting unit & 1-10 rating scale*

All Sports

Al McMordie: 60-40-5, +$13,386

Matt Fargo: 76-75-2, +$9,550 (golf winner packs every week)

Marc Lawrence36-25, +$8,057

 *All Sports Monthly Package: every pick, every sport, only $499*


NFL

Ben Burns: 10-4, +$5,760

Teddy Covers: 7-3, +$3,309

AAA Sports: 10-6, +$3,130

*Super Bowl 50 Expert Picks: starting as low as $15*


NBA

Marc Lawrence: 11-2, +$7,695

Matt Fargo: 25-17-1, +$6,690

Al McMordie: 15-9-1, +$4,230

*NBA Monthly Package: 31 days of winners for just $299*


NCAAB

Al McMordie: 30-14-1, +$14,214

Power Sports: 34-25-4, +$6,040

Steve Merril: 19-12, +$5,987

*NCAAB Full Season Package: all picks though March Madness only $499*


NHL

Jesse Schule: 14-7, +$3,461

AAA Sports: 16-10-2, +$911

Ben Burns: 29-18-2, +$572

*NHL Full Season Package: $299 takes you through the Stanley Cup*

 

Are you a new Covers user? Upgrade to an Experts account and receive two FREE picks!

 

Keep it rolling in February!

 

- Covers Team

Big Al: 15-1 Run, Consensus: 3-0 Sweep

CE Manager Jan 31, 2016
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We are currently in the middle of two incredible streaks by Covers Expert Al McMordie and our flagship product, the Experts Consensus. If you like cold hard cash, you have come to the right place.

Big Al absolutely crushed the books once again on Saturday, serving up a flawless 6-0 card for himself and his clients for $4,720 of profit.  This basketball guru has now cashed 15 of his last 16 plays and over the past 11 weeks, has posted a 173-109 all sports record with +$44,909 earned.

Al is locked and loaded with 4 more NCAA hoops winners for today:

- College Hoops Revenge Game of the Week

- College Hoops High Roller Winner

- 10* NCAA Road Warrior Winner

- NCAA Hoops Roadkill Winner

Looking for long term profits? Take advantage of one of Al's many subscription options.

 

Speaking of profits, the Experts Consensus continues to back up its mission statement of providing "Covers Experts' Strongest Plays". It was the 2nd straight NCAAB Saturday sweep, bringing the overall record to 27-9-1 (75%) this season. Since December 10th, 2015, Consensus has produced an insane 67-30-2 (69%) all sports record, leaving it +$35,110 in the black.

Don't miss today's NBA Sunday 'Full Court Press' (5-0, 100%).

Montly Package also available - get every Consensus pick for 31 days for $999.

 

Take it to the books!

 

- Covers Team