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This Week's Best Spot Bets

CE Manager 8 hours, 39 minutes ago
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Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you're betting. Whether it's a team looking past this week's opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots. Covers Expert Ben Burns points out his favorites:

Letdown spot

The FAU Owls nearly put their program on the map and shook up the college football power rankings but missed out on a massive win over Florida, losing to the Gators 20-14 in overtime as 28.5-point road underdogs in Gainesville Saturday. The Owls battled back in the second half to force the extra frame but couldn’t keep pace with their SEC opponent in crunch time.

Florida Atlantic now must wipe away the tears for a C-USA showdown with Old Dominion Saturday. The Monarchs opened as 4.5-point underdogs but have watched that spread come down a half a point since post. Old Dominion seems like a live home dog against a two-win FAU team coming off a crushing defeat.

Lookahead spot

The Chicago Blackhawks are out West for the holiday weekend, starting with a game against the San Jose Sharks Wednesday night. The Blackhawks not only will be looking past the Sharks to the Thanksgiving Thursday – a day off on the NHL schedule – but have two huge games ahead on this road trip.

Chicago has a rematch with the Anaheim Ducks, who they battled for seven games in last year’s postseason, Friday night. And then the Blackhawks play the Los Angeles Kings, who they lost to in the Western Conference final two seasons ago, Saturday night. With some time off and two massive rivalry games ahead, Chicago could get caught looking past San Jose Wednesday.

Schedule spot

The Atlanta Hawks are having a tough time replicating the success of last season, when they surged to the top of the Eastern Conference. Atlanta finished with 60 wins and held its own against non-conference opponents as well, going 22-8 against Western Conference competition. This season, the Hawks are just 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS versus the West and have a daunting road schedule ahead.

Atlanta plays three games in four nights, starting with a stop in Minnesota Wednesday. The Hawks already lost at home to the Timberwolves this month, falling 117-107 as 8.5-point favorites. Following the Thanksgiving Thursday, Atlanta is back at it with games at Memphis Friday and San Antonio Saturday. Overall, for the week, the Hawks play four games in five nights with the holiday in between.


Thanksgiving Day Special: Purchase any two picks for this Thursday's games and get a third pick FREE! Click here to take advantage of this tasty offer!

Thanksgiving NFL Notes & Quotes

CE Manager 16 hours, 9 minutes ago
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By: Teddy Covers

It’s Week 12 already. Thanksgiving is upon us, with the holiday season right behind it.  All the NFL Bye weeks are in the rear view mirror now, with every team still having exactly six games remaining in the regular season.  We’re seeing numerous ‘morphs’ around the league; teams that have changed their stripes rather dramatically over the course of the last month. 

Some of those morphs are duly noted by the betting markets.  For example, the 3-7 Cowboys with a healthy Tony Romo are favored over the 10-0 Panthers on Thanksgiving Day, with the betting markets reacting to the Cowboys positive showing with Tony Romo back behind center this past Sunday.  The markets certainly aren’t sleeping on Dallas right now!

But what about the Lions, winners of two straight since their woeful 1-7 start?  Or the Falcons, now just 1-4 in their last five games; struggling on both sides of the football?  The Jets aren’t the same team now that they were a month ago, especially if the injuries to shutdown corner Darrelle Revis and pro bowl caliber center Nick Mangold don’t heal quickly.  Should we believe in the trio of suddenly surging 5-5 teams – the Buccaneers, the Chiefs and the Houston Texans, now tied for first place following a three game winning streak?  Is Cinci primed for a skid following back-2-back losses?

In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll be focusing on key Notes & Quotes from around the NFL.  These tidbits are intentionally short; a quick hitter tour around some of the key morphers in the league as we enter the stretch run of this compelling NFL campaign.

Let me start with the Jacksonville Jaguars, winners of two straight, now just a single game out of first place in the AFC South.  And the Jags success has come, at least in part, due to Blake Bortles leading game winning drives in the fourth quarter or overtime.  In fact, Bortles leads the NFL, with four such drives this season – all four of the Jaguars wins this year -- one more than Andy Dalton, Jay Cutler or Matt Ryan.

Of course, it’s also worth noting that Bortles entered last week’s game with a 47% completion rate in the fourth quarter and OT, ranked dead last in the NFL among quarterbacks with enough pass attempts to qualify.  Bortles has thrown at least one interception in each of his last six games and he’s only thrown one pass of 40 yards or longer in his last five starts; unable to stretch opposing defenses. That fourth quarter/OT stat is NOT a sign that Blake Bortles has developed into an upper echelon NFL quarterback.

Meanwhile, head coach Gus Bradley is concerned that the Jags are going to be overconfident following their two game win streak.  “I guess we’ll wait and see. That will be the talk. They’re sure saying the right things and acting the right way. In the locker room, in our talk, [a] couple of players said some things to the team that I thought were spot on…. I have great faith in them, but that’s something we’ll watch as a team and make sure that we’re keeping it tight and going in the right direction.”

The Detroit Lions did two very impressive things in their win over the Raiders on Sunday.  Detroit shut down David Carr and the Raiders potent passing game, holding Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper to a combined 54 receiving yards; their lowest total of the season.  And, with the game on the line in the fourth quarter, the Lions were able to run out the clock with an impressive 13 play drive that lasted more than seven and a half minutes. 

Detroit is now 3-0 when they run the ball at least 20 times.  Offensive tackle Riley Reiff: “It's a great feeling for the offensive line when everyone, including the Raiders, knew we were going to run and we were still able to do it.”  Of course, longtime Lions fans aren’t looking for a late season transformation, with Detroit morphing back to the playoff caliber team they were last year.  Any sort of late season run will probably take the Lions out of contention for a Top 5 draft pick next spring.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers entered Week 11 with a +0.5 yards per play differential; ranked right between NFL elites Carolina and Cincinnati in that key statistical category.  Then the Bucs proceeded to outgain the Eagles 7.2 to 5.3 yards per play in a blowout road win, behind five TD passes from rookie quarterback Jameis Winston (to five different receivers!), producing their highest point total since 2001.

Winston: “I ain't going to cry, but this is a dream come true for me. I always wanted to play here, ever since I was a little boy. I always wanted to be an Eagle. I was even singing the fight song on the sideline. It was a special day for me."

Bucs wide receiver Mike Evans: “We are watching a young quarterback grow before our eyes." 

Head coach Lovie Smith: “We've talked a lot about being relevant again.  Well, we're relevant again." 

Meanwhile, this quote is worthy of note from Philadelphia Eagles defensive coordinator Bill Davis after his D was gashed for 283 yards on the ground and 238 through the air.  “A game like this will shake your confidence and that's our biggest enemy because it can destroy you.”

The Green Bay Packers snapped a three game skid with a blowout win at Minnesota.  Their defense came up strong, notching six sacks, and Eddie Lacy enjoyed a rare 100 yard rushing effort, taking some of the pressure off Aaron Rodgers and the passing game.   That being said, Rogers still completed fewer than half of his pass attempts.  And his much maligned receiving corps didn’t offer him many easy targets with only James Jones gaining more than 40 yards through the air.

Still, the postgame comments from Rodgers were very positive. “Maybe we'll get you guys off our back for a couple days. We've been taking it on the chin, rightfully so, the last three weeks after a couple real poor performances. This was an important week for us. We really stuck together….. I think sometimes we play a little better when we start to get questioned.”

The Denver Broncos snapped a two game skid of their own, with Brock Osweiler getting his first career start in place of Peyton Manning at quarterback.  He completed 20-27 pass attempts for 250 yards without an interception.

Osweiler: "I don't know if anybody believed me, but I really was telling the truth -- I have not wasted a single day sitting behind Peyton. I fully recognize that he might be the greatest quarterback to ever play, if not one of the greatest. I wasn't going to let one of those days go by where I didn't learn something. I've been very appreciative for my situation….I was comfortable from the very first snap.”

Broncos LB Von Miller: “He does this all of the time in practice, in preseason. I kind of came out here and expected it. What he did is what I expected him to do."

Head coach Gary Kubiak: “Brock can do everything. He's a very composed young man and the more he plays, I think, the better he's going to get. .. He's a sharp young man. He has a lot of confidence in himself and he should obviously gain some more through this experience."

Thanksgiving Day Special: Purchase any two picks for this Thursday's games and get a third pick FREE! Click here to take advantage of this tasty offer!

NFL Line Watch Week 12

CE Manager Nov 23, 2015
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Game to bet now

Carolina at Dallas (pk)

Greg Hardy going up against his old team, and will be ramming his body into the Panthers’ left tackle 30 or more times. What are the chances he keeps his cool in this one? Hardy says it’s just another game, but no one believes anything he says, anyway. On the surface this seems like easy pickings for the 10-0 Panthers, even if Dallas has Tony Romo back calling signals. Dallas is 3-7 and only owner/GM-for-life Jerry Jones thinks his team has a chance of getting into the playoffs. One more loss should just about end that fantasy, and by a 2-1 margin early bettors believe that Carolina will deliver that defeat.
Game to wait on

Pittsburgh at Seattle (-5)

Week 12 is upon is, and in the AFC the Steelers are one of just four AFC to have six wins. Pittsburgh is a solid 6-3-1 ATS this season but now starts a stretch of four tough games (Seattle, Indianapolis, Cincinnati, Denver).  The Steelers have the advantage of having their bye week before dealing with a cross country flight and the crazy atmosphere in Seattle. The problem with jumping quickly is the awkward 5-point line (down from 5.5 at opening, but driven down by heavy early money on the Steelers – perhaps due to the Seahawks’ inability to cover (3-6-1 ATS) this season.
Total to watch

Chicago at Green Bay (47.5)

Everyone in Wisconsin can exhale now after Aaron Rodgers and the Pack put 30 on the board in a surprisingly easy win at Minnesota. Best of all, Green Bay finally seems to have  the semblance of a running game now that Eddie Lacy has emerged from the witness protection program. Lacy had 100 yards against the Vikings, and if he can put similar numbers up against the Bears, it will make life much easier for Rodgers. Over deserves a look here, based on GB’s awakened offense, Chicago’s tendency to turn over the ball and the Bears’ awful defensive play in division games this season (they average 30 points allowed in NFC North games).

By: AAA Sports


The NFL season rolls along and we want to make you money! Check out three ways you can cash in on the NFL with Covers Experts:

1.    Expert Picks as low as $15 found here
2.    *Best Value* Covers Experts NFL Regular Season Package gets you picks & advice for the enitre regular season: was $999 now $599
3.    Covers Experts NFL Monthly gets you picks & advice for 31 days with an Expert of your choice, only $299

As always, take it to the books!



MNF - Expert Picks & Advice

CE Manager Nov 22, 2015
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The NFL season rolls along and we want to make you money! Check out three ways you can cash in on the NFL with Covers Experts:

1.    Expert Picks as low as $15 found here
2.    *Best Value* Covers Experts NFL Regular Season Package gets you picks & advice for the enitre regular season: was $999 now $599
3.    Covers Experts NFL Monthly gets you picks & advice for 31 days with an Expert of your choice, only $299


Not sure which Expert to go with? Check out these 2015/2016 Regular Season records:

Power Sports52-31-1 (63%), +$15,220 

Matt Fargo46-30-1 (61%), +$12,840 

Teddy Covers26-11-1 (70%), +$11,494 

Marc Lawrence28-13 (68%), $9,512

AAA Sports37-28-1 (57%), +$6,442

Al McMordie40-31-1 (56%), +$6,422


Monday Novermber 23rd 8:30 PM ET Buffalo @ New England - Line: NE -7.5; O/U 48

ABOUT THE BILLS (5-4): Since coming off its bye, Buffalo has had success with a ground-and-pound attack that Ryan favored with the Jets, getting a combined 378 yards rushing and four touchdowns from the running back tandem of LeSean McCoy and rookie Karlos Williams. Quarterback Tyrod Taylor has been picked off once since throwing three interceptions in the Week 2 loss to New England while wide receiver Sammy Watkins provides a big play threat if he can remain healthy. The Bills have yielded 17 points in each of the last two weeks after giving up 68 in the previous two losses.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (9-0): Brady (league-best 24 TD passes) carved up Buffalo for 466 yards and three touchdowns in the first meeting as New England barely thought about running the ball, but two players who combined for 17 catches in that game - Edelman and Dion Lewis - are now out. Tight end Rob Gronkowski, who has a team-high eight touchdowns, had seven receptions and the first of his five 100-yard games this season in the earlier meeting. The Patriots are second in the league in rushing yards allowed (88.2) and third in sacks (30), led by Chandler Jones' NFL-high 10.5.

Get your winning pick here:

(1) Teddy's Patriots vs Bills Monday Night Moneymaker

(2) AAA's Monday Night Total BLOOD BATH!

(3) Rickenbach NFL *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (70% YTD!)


Be sure to check in on the Experts Consensus for Monday's top plays. Take advantage of this 32-24 (+$6,430) NFL record and find out which games our cappers line up on!


As always, take it to the books!



NFL Sunday Week 11 - Expert Picks

CE Manager Nov 21, 2015
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The NFL season rolls along and we want to make you money! Check out three ways you can cash in on the NFL with Covers Experts:

1.    Expert Picks as low as $15 found here
2.    *Best Value* Covers Experts NFL Regular Season Package gets you picks & advice for the enitre regular season: was $999 now $599
3.    Covers Experts NFL Monthly gets you picks & advice for 31 days with an Expert of your choice, only $299


Not sure which Expert to go with? Check out these 2015/2016 Regular Season records:

Power Sports: 52-31-1 (63%), +$15,220 - 10* 'NFL Game of the Week

Matt Fargo: 46-30-1 (61%), +$12,840 - 10* Totals Dominator

Teddy Covers: 26-11-1 (70%), +$11,494 - NFL Tremendous Trifecta (3 pack)

Marc Lawrence28-13 (68%), $9,51210* NFL Game of the Week

AAA Sports37-28-1 (57%), +$6,442NFL Game of the Month (Side)

Al McMordie: 40-31-1 (56%), +$6,422 - NFL Total of the Week


Get on the winning side of Sunday's featured games:

1:00 PM ET: Denver vs. Chicago

Line: Bears -1. O/U: 41

Future Hall of Famer Peyton Manning will be out of the lineup for the first time since missing the entire 2011 season when the Denver Broncos visit the Chicago Bears on Sunday. With Manning dealing with a torn plantar fascia, Brock Osweiler will make his first career start as the Broncos attempt to put an end to a two-game losing streak.

Schule's NFL Gridiron Guillotine ~ BRONCOS vs. BEARS

AAA's 10* *Denver/Chicago* BLOCKBUSTER ~ (72%) 10* NFL Run!


4:25 PM ET: Green Bay vs. Minnesota

Line: Vikings -1. O/U: 44.5

The Green Bay Packers appeared on the verge of turning the NFC North title chase into a runaway after opening the season with six consecutive victories. Three straight losses later, the Packers find themselves in second place and staring up at division-leading Minnesota entering Sunday's clash at the first-place Vikings.

*10* TOTAL POWER ~ 15-5-1 YTD w/ NFL Totals!



8:30 PM ET: Cincinnati at Arizona

Line: Cardinals -5. O/U: 48.5

After prevailing in a high-profile prime-time matchup at Seattle last weekend, the Arizona Cardinals face another daunting change when they host the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday night in a battle of division leaders. It will mark only the second home game in an eight-game span for Arizona, which has won three straight to open a three-game lead in the NFC West.


Marc Lawrence NFL Sunday Night 7* Primetime Monster Play!


For all Sunday NFL Expert picks, click here.


Be sure to check in on the Experts Consensus for Sunday's top plays (We've already got one loaded). Take advantage of this 32-24 (+$6,430) NFL record and find out which games our cappers line up on!


Take it to the books!


- Covers Team